Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 6/30/2019
Sunday, June 30, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Shane Bieber vs. Gabriel Ynoa
Oriole Park is the site where Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (23-58, 5th in AL East) will take on the Cleveland Indians (44-37, 2nd in AL Central) on Sunday. The Orioles open this contest at +207 while the Indians are priced at -225. The O/U is set at 9.5.
The Indians have been a solid option for wagerers, having gone 44-37-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 28.4% of the time, going 23-58-0 straight up. The Indians have been hot and cold for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 33-30-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 27.3% of the time as the underdog, having gone 21-56-0 straight up.
Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Indians have been a bad Over bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 34-44-3.
The Indians are covering 50.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 19-19-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore is covering 25.0% of the time at Oriole Park, going 10-30-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a less than ideal Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 41-35-5.
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
6/27/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
6/27/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/26/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/25/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/25/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/5/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
6/26/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/26/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Josh Lucas RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/20/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Indians have a 44-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Shane Bieber has a 6-3 record with an earned run average of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.10 this season. He has 122 strikeouts over his 96.1 innings pitched and he's given up 83 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 264 hitters and walked 80 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 649 base hits and 314 earned runs. They have allowed 107 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 228 batters and struck out 761. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.
As a team Cleveland is hitting .238, good for 25th in the league. The Indians hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Francisco Lindor is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .354. He has 74 hits this season in 252 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 122. Carlos Santana is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .412. He has totaled 83 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 286 at bats. His OPS+ is 148 while his slugging percentage is at .538. The Indians have 636 hits, including 123 doubles and 104 home runs. Cleveland has walked 293 times so far this season and they have struck out 682 times as a unit. They have left 541 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 355 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 23-58 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.75, Gabriel Ynoa has a 0-5 record and a 1.54 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 45.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 54 hits. He's allowing 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.26 and they have given up 353 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 319 batters and walked 158 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.85. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 772 base knocks and 465 earned runs this season. They have given up 165 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 302 hitters and struck out 621 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 5.88.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 24th in the league. The Orioles hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .296 with an OBP of .354. He has 88 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 297 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .542 with an OPS+ of 137. Jonathan Villar is hitting .252 this season and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 78 hits in 309 at bats while driving in 33 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .414. The Orioles as a unit have 666 base hits, including 126 doubles and 96 homers. Baltimore has walked 218 times this year and they have struck out on 726 occasions. They have had 527 men left on base and have an OPS of .700. They have scored 4.12 runs per game and totaled 334 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Indians/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +207
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