Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 5/27/2019
Monday, May 27, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jefry Rodriguez vs. Rick Porcello
Carlos Santana and the Cleveland Indians (26-25, 2nd in AL Central) travel to Fenway Park on Monday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (27-25, 3rd in AL East). The Red Sox open this game at -172 while the Indians are coming in at +162. The over/under opens at 9.5.
The Indians have been a good bet for bettors, having gone 26-25-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 51.9% of the time, going 27-25-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a good bet for bettors as favorites, going 24-21-0 SU. Cleveland is covering 50.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 5-5-0 straight up.
Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Indians have been an excellent Under play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 18-31-2.
Cleveland is covering 47.8% of the time as the visitor, having gone 11-12-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox are covering 56.5% of the time at Fenway Park, going 13-10-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been a strong Over play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 29-21-2.
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
5/25/2019 Oscar Mercado LF Hip Probable for May 26
5/16/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/16/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/16/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/6/2019 Mike Clevinger SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
5/25/2019 Brock Holt 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least May 26
5/25/2019 J.D DH Back Probable for May 26
5/25/2019 David Price SP Illness Expected to be out until at least May 30
5/24/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/23/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least May 30
5/23/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/7/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least May 30
4/23/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 12
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Indians have a 26-25 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jefry Rodriguez has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.36 this season. He has 23 strikeouts over his 35.1 innings pitched and he's given up 35 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.84 and they have given up 138 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 157 hitters and walked 44 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.7. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 397 base hits and 184 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 146 batters and struck out 480. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.
As a team Cleveland is hitting .221, good for 28th in the league. The Indians hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.1 hits per game. Carlos Santana is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .410. He has 50 hits this season in 174 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 138. Francisco Lindor is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 35 hits and he has driven in 15 men in 126 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .476. The Indians have 362 hits, including 69 doubles and 53 home runs. Cleveland has walked 197 times so far this season and they have struck out 456 times as a unit. They have left 340 men on base and have a team OPS of .667. They score 3.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 195 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 27-25 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.45, Rick Porcello has a 3-4 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 56.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 55 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.79. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 228 batters and walked 82 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 412 base knocks and 222 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 172 hitters and struck out 509 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 7th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .407. He has 57 hits this year along with 25 RBI in 195 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .487 with an OPS+ of 136. J.D. Martinez is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .390. He has collected 52 hits in 172 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 136 and a slugging percentage of .512. The Red Sox as a unit have 462 base hits, including 93 doubles and 74 homers. Boston has walked 218 times this year and they have struck out on 419 occasions. They have had 379 men left on base and have an OPS of .776. They have scored 5.25 runs per game and totaled 273 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Indians/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -172
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