Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 5/28/2019

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zach Plesac vs. Ryan Weber

Francisco Lindor and the Cleveland Indians (26-26, 2nd in AL Central) go to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (28-25, 3rd in AL East). The Indians open this contest at +185 while the Red Sox are coming in at -200. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Indians have been hot and cold for bettors, having gone 26-26-0 SU. The Red Sox cover 52.8% of the time, going 28-25-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a solid option for bettors as favorites, going 24-21-0 SU. The Indians cover 50.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 5-5-0 straight up.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians have been a very good Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 19-31-2.

Cleveland covers 47.8% of the time as a visitor, having gone 11-12-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston covers 56.5% of the time at Fenway Park, going 13-10-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a terrible Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 29-22-2.

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

5/16/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/16/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/16/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/6/2019 Mike Clevinger SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 7

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

5/26/2019 Brock Holt 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least May 27
5/26/2019 David Price SP Illness Expected to be out until at least May 28
5/24/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/23/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/23/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least May 30
5/7/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least May 30
4/23/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 12
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 26-26 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.90 and they have given up 142 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 160 hitters and walked 45 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 406 base hits and 189 earned runs. They have allowed 65 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 148 batters and struck out 491. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .221, good for 28th in the league. The Indians hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.1 hits per game. Francisco Lindor is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .342. He has 36 hits this season in 129 at bats with 16 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .473 and an OPS+ of 111. Carlos Santana is hitting .285 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .405. He has totaled 51 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 179 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .492. The Indians have 370 hits, including 69 doubles and 54 home runs. Cleveland has walked 201 times so far this season and they have struck out 465 times as a unit. They have left 349 men on base and have a team OPS of .667. They score 3.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 198 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 28-25 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.29, Ryan Weber has a 1-0 record and a 0.86 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 14 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 233 batters and walked 83 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 416 base knocks and 223 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 174 hitters and struck out 519 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 9th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .301 with an OBP of .387. He has 53 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 176 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .506 with an OPS+ of 134. Mookie Betts is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .404. He has collected 58 hits in 199 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .482. The Red Sox as a unit have 469 base hits, including 94 doubles and 75 homers. Boston has walked 220 times this year and they have struck out on 427 occasions. They have had 385 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They have scored 5.23 runs per game and totaled 277 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -200

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