Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 5/29/2019

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Shane Bieber vs. Ryan Weber

Fenway Park is the venue where Mookie Betts and the Boston Red Sox (29-25, 3rd in AL East) will take on the Cleveland Indians (26-27, 2nd in AL Central) on Wednesday. The Indians open this game at +125 while the Red Sox are coming in at -135. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Indians have been dicey for MLB wagerers, having gone 26-27-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 53.7% of the time, going 29-25-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been good for wagerers as favorites, going 25-21-0 SU. Cleveland covers 45.5% of the time as an underdog, having gone 5-6-0 straight up.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians have been a great Under pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 20-31-2.

The Indians are covering 45.8% of the time as the visitor, having gone 11-13-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston covers 58.3% of the time at Fenway Park, going 14-10-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a great Over pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 30-22-2.

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

5/16/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/16/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/16/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/6/2019 Mike Clevinger SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 7

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

5/27/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Knee Probable for May 28
5/27/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/26/2019 David Price SP Illness Probable for May 28
5/23/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/23/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least May 30
5/7/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least May 30
4/23/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 12
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 26-27 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Shane Bieber has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.05 this season. He has 79 strikeouts over his 63.2 innings pitched and he's given up 50 hits. He's allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.57. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have given up 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 164 hitters and walked 46 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 419 base hits and 200 earned runs. They have allowed 68 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 152 batters and struck out 501. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .222, good for 28th in the league. The Indians hold a .358 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Carlos Santana is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .400. He has 51 hits this season in 183 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .481 and an OPS+ of 131. Francisco Lindor is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 37 hits and he has driven in 16 men in 133 at bats. His OPS+ is 111 while his slugging percentage is at .466. The Indians have 379 hits, including 72 doubles and 54 home runs. Cleveland has walked 205 times so far this season and they have struck out 470 times as a unit. They have left 359 men on base and have a team OPS of .668. They score 3.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 203 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 29-25 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.29, Ryan Weber has a 1-0 record and a 0.86 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 14 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 169 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 234 batters and walked 84 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 425 base knocks and 226 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 178 hitters and struck out 524 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .404. He has 60 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 204 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .480 with an OPS+ of 133. J.D. Martinez is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 55 hits in 181 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .536. The Red Sox as a unit have 482 base hits, including 98 doubles and 78 homers. Boston has walked 224 times this year and they have struck out on 437 occasions. They have had 391 men left on base and have an OPS of .779. They have scored 5.35 runs per game and totaled 289 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -135

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