Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks 9/26/2019

Thursday, September 26, 2019

Guaranteed Rate Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Civale vs. Dylan Cease

Tim Anderson and the Chicago White Sox (68-88, 3rd in AL Central) host the Cleveland Indians (93-64, 2nd in AL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Thursday, September 26, 2019. The White Sox open this matchup at +185 while the Indians are coming in at -200. The over/under opens at 9.5.

The Indians have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 93-64-0 SU. The White Sox cover 43.6% of the time, going 68-88-0 straight up.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians have been a less than ideal Over pick for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 67-85-5.

The Indians cover 57.9% of the time as the away team, having gone 44-32-0 straight up.

Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

Chicago is covering 46.7% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 35-40-0 SU.

The White Sox have been a solid Over pick for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 74-76-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

9/24/2019 Jason Kipnis 2B Hand Out for the season
9/24/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Out for the season
9/13/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Knee Out for the season
9/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Oblique Out for the season
9/6/2019 Danny Salazar SP Groin Out for the season
9/1/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/1/2019 Tyler Olson RP Infection Out for the season
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

9/20/2019 Lucas Giolito SP Lat Out for the season
9/20/2019 Dylan Covey SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/3/2019 Jon Jay RF Hip Out for the season
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 93-64 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Civale has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 1.82 and a WHIP of 0.99 this season. He has 42 strikeouts over his 54.1 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He's allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 445 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 508 hitters and walked 165 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 1,247 base hits and 561 earned runs. They have allowed 198 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 431 batters and struck out 1,466. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .252, good for 15th in the league. The Indians hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Carlos Santana is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .402. He has 160 hits this season in 560 at bats with 93 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .525 and an OPS+ of 139. Francisco Lindor is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 168 hits and he has driven in 72 men in 580 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .524. The Indians have 1,326 hits, including 281 doubles and 217 home runs. Cleveland has walked 549 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,284 times as a unit. They have left 1,046 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 755 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 68-88 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.79, Dylan Cease has a 4-7 record and a 1.55 WHIP. He has 81 strikeouts over the 73 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 78 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 524 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 511 batters and walked 264 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.99. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,408 base knocks and 759 earned runs this season. They have given up 233 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 571 hitters and struck out 1,264 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.95.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 8th in the league. The White Sox hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Tim Anderson comes into this matchup batting .334 with an OBP of .354. He has 162 hits this year along with 56 RBI in 485 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .511 with an OPS+ of 128. Jose Abreu is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 173 hits in 616 at bats while driving in 121 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .500. The White Sox as a unit have 1,395 base hits, including 253 doubles and 173 homers. Chicago has walked 363 times this year and they have struck out on 1,504 occasions. They have had 1,040 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They have scored 4.34 runs per game and totaled 677 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/White Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the White Sox (+185)

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