Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks 8/29/2019

Thursday, August 29, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Clevinger vs. Daniel Norris

Francisco Lindor and the Cleveland Indians (77-55, 2nd in AL Central) head to Comerica Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (39-90, 5th in AL Central). The line on this game has the Indians priced at -230 and the Tigers are at +212. The O/U is set at 9.

The Indians have been very good for bettors, having gone 77-55-0 SU. Detroit is covering 30.2% of the time, going 39-90-0 straight up.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians have been a very good Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 57-70-5.

Cleveland is covering 56.2% of the time as the visitor, having gone 36-28-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit is covering 27.9% of the time at Comerica Park, going 17-44-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a pretty good Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 59-61-9.

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Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

8/27/2019 Danny Salazar SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/26/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/26/2019 Jordan Luplow RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/26/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/26/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/25/2019 Jose Ramirez 3B Hand Out for the season
8/24/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/22/2019 Tyler Olson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/20/2019 Corey Kluber SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
8/20/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/12/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

8/27/2019 Harold Castro 2B Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/27/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/27/2019 Miguel Cabrera DH Biceps Probable for Aug 28
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/14/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 77-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Clevinger has a 9-2 record with an earned run average of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.12 this season. He has 113 strikeouts over his 78 innings pitched and he's given up 61 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 382 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 419 hitters and walked 136 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 1,049 base hits and 477 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 366 batters and struck out 1,234. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 4.01.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Indians hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Francisco Lindor is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .350. He has 138 hits this season in 466 at bats with 56 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .519 and an OPS+ of 123. Carlos Santana is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .412. He has totaled 132 hits and he has driven in 79 men in 458 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .541. The Indians have 1,112 hits, including 236 doubles and 185 home runs. Cleveland has walked 457 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,062 times as a unit. They have left 878 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 626 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 39-90 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.70, Daniel Norris has a 3-10 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 107 strikeouts over the 126.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 141 hits. He's allowing 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.78. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 508 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 450 batters and walked 230 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,224 base knocks and 660 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 438 hitters and struck out 1,078 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Brandon Dixon comes into this matchup batting .248 with an OBP of .287. He has 81 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 326 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .445 with an OPS+ of 88. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 118 hits in 421 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .390. The Tigers as a unit have 1,058 base hits, including 239 doubles and 121 homers. Detroit has walked 332 times this year and they have struck out on 1,298 occasions. They have had 872 men left on base and have an OPS of .679. They have scored 3.62 runs per game and totaled 471 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+212)

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