Cleveland Indians at Miami Marlins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/30/2019

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trevor Bauer vs. Sandy Alcantara

The Cleveland Indians visit Marlins Park on Tuesday, April 30, 2019 to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Trevor Bauer for the Indians and Sandy Alcantara for the Marlins.

The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -175 and Miami at +165. The Indians have a 11-15-1 over/under record and a 14-13-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 11-17-0 against the run line and have a 11-16-1 over/under record.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 11-15-1 against the over/under

The Cleveland Indians are 14-13-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 11-16-1 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 11-17-0 against the run line

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

04/09/19 P Mike Clevinger Back 10-day IL (04/09)
03/27/19 CF Bradley Zimmer Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Danny Salazar Shoulder 60-day IL (03/24)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/16/19 P Austin Brice Stomach 10-day IL (04/16)
04/01/19 LF Garrett Cooper Calf 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 15-12 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trevor Bauer has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 1.99 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 45 strikeouts over his 40.2 innings pitched and he's given up 23 hits. He's allowed 5.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.43. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 84 hitters and walked 31 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 197 base hits and 92 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 265. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .213, good for 28th in the league. The Indians hold a .336 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.9 hits per game. Carlos Santana is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .422. He has 27 hits this season in 90 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .422 and an OPS+ of 124. Leonys Martin is hitting .232 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 23 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 99 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .424. The Indians have 186 hits, including 35 doubles and 24 home runs. Cleveland has walked 101 times so far this season and they have struck out 263 times as a unit. They have left 179 men on base and have a team OPS of .636. They score 3.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 102 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 8-20 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Sandy Alcantara has a 1-2 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 28 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 30 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.40 and they have given up 88 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 111 batters and walked 46 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 233 base knocks and 130 earned runs this season. They have given up 34 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 100 hitters and struck out 258 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .227, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .335 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .284, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.5 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .314. He has 28 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 109 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .349 with an OPS+ of 84. Brian Anderson is hitting .240 this season and he has an OBP of .325. He has collected 25 hits in 104 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 85 and a slugging percentage of .337. The Marlins as a unit have 210 base hits, including 34 doubles and 22 homers. Miami has walked 67 times this year and they have struck out on 253 occasions. They have had 177 men left on base and have an OPS of .619. They have scored 2.79 runs per game and totaled 78 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Indians -175

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