Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks 8/11/2019

Sunday, August 11, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Civale vs. Jose Berrios

Carlos Santana and the Cleveland Indians (69-46, 2nd in AL Central) head to Target Field on Sunday where they'll take on the Minnesota Twins (70-45, 1st in AL Central).

The Indians have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 69-46-0 SU. Minnesota covers 60.9% of the time, going 70-45-0 straight up.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians have been a rough Over choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 49-62-4.

The Indians cover 58.5% of the time on the road, having gone 31-22-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota covers 59.3% of the time at Target Field, going 35-24-0 SU.

The Twins have been a dicey Under choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 60-50-5.

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

8/6/2019 Jordan Luplow RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/5/2019 Danny Salazar SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
8/4/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/4/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/4/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/4/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/4/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/2/2019 Tyler Olson RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/13/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

8/8/2019 Nelson Cruz DH Wrist Probable for Aug 9
8/7/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/6/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/4/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/3/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/3/2019 Michael Pineda SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 69-46 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Civale has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 0.75 and a WHIP of 0.75 this season. He has 13 strikeouts over his 12 innings pitched and he's given up 5 hits. He's allowed 3.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.28 and they have given up 327 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen and they've struck out 370 hitters and walked 115 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 897 base hits and 415 earned runs. They have allowed 142 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 321 batters and struck out 1,084. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .249, good for 17th in the league. The Indians hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Carlos Santana is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .403. He has 112 hits this season in 400 at bats with 64 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .520 and an OPS+ of 139. Francisco Lindor is hitting .301 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 120 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 399 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .524. The Indians have 953 hits, including 203 doubles and 154 home runs. Cleveland has walked 398 times so far this season and they have struck out 926 times as a unit. They have left 762 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.64 runs per contest and have scored a total of 534 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 70-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.24, Jose Berrios has a 10-6 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 140 strikeouts over the 147.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 135 hits. He's allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 393 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 405 batters and walked 140 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,009 base knocks and 479 earned runs this season. They have given up 146 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 328 hitters and struck out 1,010 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .499 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .357. He has 134 hits this year along with 56 RBI in 455 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .497 with an OPS+ of 123. Max Kepler is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 112 hits in 423 at bats while driving in 77 runs. He has an OPS+ of 130 and a slugging percentage of .548. The Twins as a unit have 1,100 base hits, including 233 doubles and 224 homers. Minnesota has walked 364 times this year and they have struck out on 934 occasions. They have had 784 men left on base and have an OPS of .836. They have scored 5.79 runs per game and totaled 666 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Indians

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