Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks 9/7/2019

Saturday, September 7, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Civale vs. Jake Odorizzi

Target Field is the site where Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins (87-53, 1st in AL Central) will play the Cleveland Indians (81-60, 2nd in AL Central) on Saturday. The Indians open this contest at +125 while the Twins are priced at -135. The total opens at 9.5.

The Indians have been an excellent option for MLB bettors, having gone 81-60-0 SU. The Twins are covering 62.1% of the time, going 87-53-0 straight up.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians have been an inconsistent Under choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 62-74-5.

The Indians are covering 55.1% of the time away from home, having gone 38-31-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota covers 57.4% of the time at Target Field, going 39-29-0 SU.

The Twins have been an inconsistent Under choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 72-61-7.

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

9/5/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/3/2019 Danny Salazar SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Knee Out for the season
9/1/2019 Tyler Olson RP Infection Out for the season
9/1/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/25/2019 Jose Ramirez 3B Hand Out for the season
8/20/2019 Corey Kluber SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/5/2019 Jorge Polanco SS Finger Probable for Sep 6
9/4/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Probable for Sep 6
9/4/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Abdomen Probable for Sep 6
9/3/2019 Kyle Gibson SP Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 81-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Civale has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 1.94 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 34 strikeouts over his 41.2 innings pitched and he's given up 34 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 417 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 445 hitters and walked 147 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 1,135 base hits and 518 earned runs. They have allowed 178 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 393 batters and struck out 1,316. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Indians hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Francisco Lindor is hitting .297 with an on-base percentage of .348. He has 151 hits this season in 509 at bats with 64 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .532 and an OPS+ of 125. Carlos Santana is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .403. He has totaled 143 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 500 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .538. The Indians have 1,182 hits, including 251 doubles and 196 home runs. Cleveland has walked 489 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,140 times as a unit. They have left 933 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 665 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 87-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.61, Jake Odorizzi has a 14-6 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 152 strikeouts over the 142 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 126 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 483 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 501 batters and walked 157 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,256 base knocks and 585 earned runs this season. They have given up 173 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 389 hitters and struck out 1,235 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .272, good for 3rd in the league. The Twins hold a .499 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.7 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .336. He has 128 hits this year along with 90 RBI in 507 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .527 with an OPS+ of 123. Jorge Polanco is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 168 hits in 557 at bats while driving in 69 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .492. The Twins as a unit have 1,351 base hits, including 276 doubles and 272 homers. Minnesota has walked 453 times this year and they have struck out on 1,161 occasions. They have had 966 men left on base and have an OPS of .839. They have scored 5.89 runs per game and totaled 824 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Indians (+125)

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