Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/18/2019

Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zach Plesac vs. Adrian Sampson

Francisco Lindor and the Cleveland Indians (37-33, 2nd in AL Central) head to Globe Life Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Texas Rangers (38-33, 2nd in AL West). The moneyline on this contest has the Indians coming in at -113 and the Rangers are at +103. The over/under is set at 10.5.

The Indians have been good for wagerers, having gone 37-33-0 SU. Texas covers 53.5% of the time, going 38-33-0 straight up. The Indians have been inconsistent for baseball wagerers as a favorite, going 26-26-0 SU. Texas has gone 25-27-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 48.1% of the time.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians have been a bad Over option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 28-39-3.

The Indians cover 51.5% of the time as a visitor, having gone 17-16-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers cover 66.7% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 24-12-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a less than ideal Over option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 35-35-1.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

6/14/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/12/2019 Mike Clevinger SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/12/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
6/11/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/5/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
5/28/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

6/17/2019 Willie Calhoun LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/16/2019 Nomar Mazara RF Hamstring Probable for Jun 17
6/16/2019 Hunter Pence DH Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/15/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/14/2019 Joey Gallo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/11/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/11/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/7/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/6/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
5/30/2019 Scott Heineman LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 37-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Plesac has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 2.92 and a WHIP of 0.97 this season. He has 20 strikeouts over his 24.2 innings pitched and he's given up 19 hits. He's allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.26 and they have given up 193 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 224 hitters and walked 69 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 551 base hits and 265 earned runs. They have allowed 92 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 198 batters and struck out 659. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .232, good for 27th in the league. The Indians hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Francisco Lindor is hitting .299 with an on-base percentage of .365. He has 61 hits this season in 204 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .525 and an OPS+ of 130. Carlos Santana is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .407. He has totaled 71 hits and he has driven in 42 men in 247 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Indians have 532 hits, including 107 doubles and 83 home runs. Cleveland has walked 264 times so far this season and they have struck out 595 times as a unit. They have left 471 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 300 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 38-33 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.21, Adrian Sampson has a 5-3 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 58 strikeouts over the 72.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 83 hits. He's allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 292 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 259 batters and walked 122 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 665 base knocks and 344 earned runs this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 260 hitters and struck out 594 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 12th in the league. The Rangers hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Nomar Mazara comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .316. He has 67 hits this year along with 39 RBI in 253 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .435 with an OPS+ of 92. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 71 hits in 250 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 130 and a slugging percentage of .512. The Rangers as a unit have 623 base hits, including 146 doubles and 96 homers. Texas has walked 264 times this year and they have struck out on 702 occasions. They have had 483 men left on base and have an OPS of .776. They have scored 5.63 runs per game and totaled 400 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Indians -113

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