» MLB Picks » Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/19/2019

Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/19/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 6/18/2019

Wednesday, June 19, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Adam Plutko vs. Joe Palumbo

Shin-Soo Choo and the Texas Rangers (39-33, 2nd in AL West) play the Cleveland Indians (37-34, 2nd in AL Central) at Globe Life Park on Wednesday, June 19, 2019. The Rangers open this contest at +103 while the Indians are coming in at -113. The total is set at 9.5.

The Indians have been dicey for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 37-34-0 SU. The Rangers are covering 54.2% of the time, going 39-33-0 straight up. The Indians have been a less than ideal bet for wagerers as the favorite, going 26-27-0 SU. Texas covers 49.1% of the time as an underdog, having gone 26-27-0 straight up.

Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians have been a very good Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 28-40-3.

Cleveland covers 50.0% of the time away from home, having gone 17-17-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers are covering 67.6% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 25-12-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a pretty good Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 35-36-1.

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

6/17/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/14/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/11/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/5/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

6/17/2019 Joey Gallo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/17/2019 Nomar Mazara RF Hamstring Probable for Jun 18
6/17/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/17/2019 Hunter Pence DH Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/15/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/11/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/11/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/6/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
5/30/2019 Scott Heineman LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Indians have a 37-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Adam Plutko has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 17 strikeouts over his 23.1 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.29 and they have given up 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen and they've struck out 228 hitters and walked 70 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 559 base hits and 272 earned runs. They have allowed 93 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 202 batters and struck out 670. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cleveland is hitting .232, good for 27th in the league. The Indians hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Carlos Santana is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .405. He has 72 hits this season in 251 at bats with 42 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 141. Francisco Lindor is hitting .303 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 63 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 208 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .538. The Indians have 540 hits, including 108 doubles and 85 home runs. Cleveland has walked 264 times so far this season and they have struck out 605 times as a unit. They have left 476 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 302 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 39-33 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 9.00, Joe Palumbo has a 0-0 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 6 hits. He's allowing 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 294 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 260 batters and walked 122 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 673 base knocks and 346 earned runs this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 260 hitters and struck out 604 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.74.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 12th in the league. The Rangers hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Shin-Soo Choo comes into this matchup batting .285 with an OBP of .386. He has 72 hits this year along with 31 RBI in 253 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .514 with an OPS+ of 131. Nomar Mazara is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 67 hits in 253 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .435. The Rangers as a unit have 631 base hits, including 150 doubles and 97 homers. Texas has walked 268 times this year and they have struck out on 713 occasions. They have had 488 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They have scored 5.65 runs per game and totaled 407 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Indians/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Indians -113

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less