Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/7/2019

Saturday, September 7, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jeff Hoffman vs. Joey Lucchesi

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (64-75, 4th in NL West) host the Colorado Rockies (59-82, 5th in NL West) at Petco Park on Saturday, September 7, 2019. The Rockies open this game at +160 while the Padres are coming in at -170. The O/U is set at 9.

The Rockies have been a dicey pick for bettors, having gone 59-82-0 SU. San Diego covers 46.0% of the time, going 64-75-0 straight up.

Valuable Colorado Rockies Betting Trends

The Rockies have been a good Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 70-65-6.

The Rockies cover 34.7% of the time as the road team, having gone 25-47-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

San Diego covers 45.6% of the time at Petco Park, going 31-37-0 SU.

The Padres have been a good Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 64-64-11.

Key Colorado Rockies Injuries

9/3/2019 David Dahl CF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/2/2019 German Marquez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/1/2019 Kyle Freeland SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/27/2019 Chad Bettis RP Hip Out for the season
8/22/2019 Jon Gray SP Foot Out for the season
8/19/2019 Scott Oberg RP Arm Out for the season
7/17/2019 Brendan Rodgers 2B Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Tyler Anderson SP Knee Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/4/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
9/4/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/30/2019 Francisco Mejia C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/23/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/20/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/20/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season
8/10/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rockies have a 59-82 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jeff Hoffman has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 7.35 and a WHIP of 1.70 this season. He has 46 strikeouts over his 45.1 innings pitched and he's given up 58 hits. He's allowed 11.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.24 and they have given up 535 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 471 hitters and walked 215 batters. As a team, Colorado allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.69. The Rockies pitchers collectively have given up 1,391 base hits and 791 earned runs. They have allowed 235 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 493 batters and struck out 1,095. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.51 and their FIP as a unit is 5.19.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Colorado is hitting .267, good for 6th in the league. The Rockies hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Charlie Blackmon is hitting .319 with an on-base percentage of .364. He has 164 hits this season in 514 at bats with 75 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .582 and an OPS+ of 123. Nolan Arenado is hitting .312 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 164 hits and he has driven in 108 men in 525 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .583. The Rockies have 1,317 hits, including 294 doubles and 187 home runs. Colorado has walked 414 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,293 times as a unit. They have left 922 men on base and have a team OPS of .783. They score 5.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 736 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 64-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.00, Joey Lucchesi has a 9-7 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 135 strikeouts over the 144 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 124 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 527 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 570 batters and walked 175 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,222 base knocks and 627 earned runs this season. They have given up 186 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 384 hitters and struck out 1,238 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 25th in the league. The Padres hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .335. He has 137 hits this year along with 76 RBI in 519 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .472 with an OPS+ of 110. Eric Hosmer is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .330. He has collected 153 hits in 539 at bats while driving in 90 runs. He has an OPS+ of 104 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Padres as a unit have 1,127 base hits, including 196 doubles and 200 homers. San Diego has walked 415 times this year and they have struck out on 1,336 occasions. They have had 845 men left on base and have an OPS of .732. They have scored 4.37 runs per game and totaled 608 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rockies/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Padres (-170)

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