Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks 5/28/2019
Tuesday, May 28, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Dylan Bundy
Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (16-37, 5th in AL East) play the Detroit Tigers (19-31, 4th in AL Central) at Oriole Park on Tuesday, May 28, 2019. The Orioles open this matchup at -110 while the Tigers are priced at +100. The total opens at 9.
The Tigers have been an awful pick for baseball bettors, having gone 19-31-0 SU. The Orioles cover 30.2% of the time, going 16-37-0 straight up. The Orioles have only been favored once this season, going 1-0-0 SU. The Tigers cover 31.6% of the time as an underdog, having gone 12-26-0 straight up.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been an excellent Under option for O/U bettors, having gone 21-27-2.
Detroit covers 41.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 10-14-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore covers 24.0% of the time at Oriole Park, going 6-19-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a strong Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 28-22-3.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
5/25/2019 Jordy Mercer SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least May 28
5/17/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least May 31
5/16/2019 Jordan Zimmermann SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
5/26/2019 Chris Davis 1B Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/22/2019 Alex Cobb SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/21/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least May 31
5/20/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 19-31 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.01 this season. He has 80 strikeouts over his 66.2 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.48 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the bullpen and they've struck out 156 hitters and walked 89 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.94. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 462 base hits and 250 earned runs. They have allowed 79 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 175 batters and struck out 405. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.88.
As a team Detroit is hitting .225, good for 26th in the league. The Tigers hold a .367 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.5 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .315. He has 53 hits this season in 197 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .452 and an OPS+ of 101. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 54 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 179 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .380. The Tigers have 385 hits, including 95 doubles and 41 home runs. Detroit has walked 148 times so far this season and they have struck out 497 times as a unit. They have left 341 men on base and have a team OPS of .658. They score 3.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 174 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 16-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.67, Dylan Bundy has a 2-5 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 52 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 45 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.09 and they have given up 227 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 203 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.84. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 500 base knocks and 302 earned runs this season. They have given up 114 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 196 hitters and struck out 404 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 5.97.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .307 with an OBP of .355. He has 61 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 199 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .553 with an OPS+ of 141. Jonathan Villar is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .309. He has collected 55 hits in 215 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 94 and a slugging percentage of .414. The Orioles as a unit have 439 base hits, including 86 doubles and 64 homers. Baltimore has walked 137 times this year and they have struck out on 469 occasions. They have had 345 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They have scored 4.13 runs per game and totaled 219 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers +100
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