Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/2/2019
Tuesday, July 2, 2019
Guaranteed Rate Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Reynaldo Lopez
Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers (27-52, 5th in AL Central) head to Guaranteed Rate Field on Tuesday where they'll meet the Chicago White Sox (39-42, 3rd in AL Central). The Tigers open this game at -109 while the White Sox are priced at -101. The total opens at 9.
The Tigers have been great for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 27-52-0 SU. Chicago is covering 48.1% of the time, going 39-42-0 straight up. The Tigers have been decent for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 7-8-0 SU. Chicago has went 24-35-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 40.7% of the time.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been an awful Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 33-41-5.
Detroit is covering 40.5% of the time away from home, having gone 15-22-0 straight up.
Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends
The White Sox cover 55.0% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 22-18-0 SU.
The White Sox have been an inconsistent Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 39-40-2.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
6/28/2019 Spencer Turnbull SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Daniel Norris SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/28/2019 Jordy Mercer SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/25/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/14/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/9/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Chicago White Sox Injuries
6/29/2019 Welington Castillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/28/2019 Tim Anderson SS Ankle Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/28/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/26/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
6/25/2019 Dylan Covey SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 27-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.09 this season. He has 129 strikeouts over his 101.2 innings pitched and he's given up 91 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.57. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 301 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 258 hitters and walked 133 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 734 base hits and 379 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 262 batters and struck out 641. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.84.
As a team Detroit is hitting .229, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 84 hits this season in 304 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .461 and an OPS+ of 110. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 79 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 264 at bats. His OPS+ is 101 while his slugging percentage is at .386. The Tigers have 618 hits, including 149 doubles and 68 home runs. Detroit has walked 215 times so far this season and they have struck out 778 times as a unit. They have left 534 men on base and have a team OPS of .666. They score 3.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 274 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 39-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.12, Reynaldo Lopez has a 4-7 record and a 1.58 WHIP. He has 83 strikeouts over the 92.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 108 hits. He's allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 257 batters and walked 127 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.05. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 719 base knocks and 392 earned runs this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 294 hitters and struck out 636 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.99.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 11th in the league. The White Sox hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Jose Abreu comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .309. He has 86 hits this year along with 60 RBI in 321 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .508 with an OPS+ of 115. Yoan Moncada is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 87 hits in 286 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .528. The White Sox as a unit have 696 base hits, including 121 doubles and 94 homers. Chicago has walked 197 times this year and they have struck out on 760 occasions. They have had 530 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They have scored 4.33 runs per game and totaled 351 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/White Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers -109
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