Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/27/2019

Friday, September 27, 2019

Guaranteed Rate Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Ivan Nova

Guaranteed Rate Field is the site where Jose Abreu and the Chicago White Sox (69-88, 3rd in AL Central) will play the Detroit Tigers (46-111, 5th in AL Central) on Friday. The White Sox open this matchup at -175 while the Tigers are priced at +165. The O/U is set at 10.

The Tigers have been pretty good for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 46-111-0 SU. The White Sox cover 44.0% of the time, going 69-88-0 straight up.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been a dicey Under choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 69-77-11.

The Tigers cover 31.6% of the time as the visitor, having gone 24-52-0 straight up.

Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

Chicago is covering 47.4% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 36-40-0 SU.

The White Sox have been a dicey Under choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 75-76-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/25/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
9/24/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Out for the season
9/16/2019 Daniel Stumpf RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

9/25/2019 Eloy Jimenez LF Illness Probable for Sep 26
9/25/2019 Matt Skole DH Abdomen Probable for Sep 26
9/25/2019 Leury Garcia CF Shoulder Probable for Sep 26
9/20/2019 Dylan Covey SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/20/2019 Lucas Giolito SP Lat Out for the season
9/3/2019 Jon Jay RF Hip Out for the season
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 46-111 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has a 9-11 record with an earned run average of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 234 strikeouts over his 181.1 innings pitched and he's given up 172 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 645 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen and they've struck out 594 hitters and walked 289 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.25. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,520 base hits and 816 earned runs. They have allowed 244 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 526 batters and struck out 1,332. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.85.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .240, good for 26th in the league. The Tigers hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Brandon Dixon is hitting .246 with an on-base percentage of .290. He has 94 hits this season in 382 at bats with 52 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .432 and an OPS+ of 86. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 136 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 482 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .388. The Tigers have 1,300 hits, including 287 doubles and 145 home runs. Detroit has walked 384 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,556 times as a unit. They have left 1,045 men on base and have a team OPS of .682. They score 3.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 570 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 69-88 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.80, Ivan Nova has a 11-12 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 110 strikeouts over the 182 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 222 hits. He's allowing 11 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 525 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 520 batters and walked 269 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,414 base knocks and 762 earned runs this season. They have given up 234 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 576 hitters and struck out 1,274 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 8th in the league. The White Sox hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Jose Abreu comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .328. He has 176 hits this year along with 122 RBI in 621 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .501 with an OPS+ of 118. Tim Anderson is hitting .339 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 166 hits in 490 at bats while driving in 56 runs. He has an OPS+ of 130 and a slugging percentage of .514. The White Sox as a unit have 1,409 base hits, including 254 doubles and 175 homers. Chicago has walked 365 times this year and they have struck out on 1,513 occasions. They have had 1,048 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They have scored 4.36 runs per game and totaled 685 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/White Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+165)

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