Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Guaranteed Rate Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Reynaldo Lopez

Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers (46-112, 5th in AL Central) are headed to Guaranteed Rate Field on Saturday where they'll meet the Chicago White Sox (70-88, 3rd in AL Central). The line on this game has the Tigers priced at +117 and the White Sox are at -127. The over/under has been set at 9.

The Tigers have been an inconsistent play for MLB bettors, having gone 46-112-0 SU. The White Sox cover 44.3% of the time, going 70-88-0 straight up.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been a decent Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 70-77-11.

The Tigers cover 31.6% of the time away from home, having gone 24-52-0 straight up.

Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

Chicago covers 48.0% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 37-40-0 SU.

The White Sox have been a decent Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 75-77-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/25/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
9/24/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Out for the season
9/16/2019 Daniel Stumpf RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

9/26/2019 Leury Garcia CF Shoulder Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Matt Skole DH Abdomen Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Eloy Jimenez LF Illness Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Dylan Cease SP Hamstring Out for the season
9/20/2019 Lucas Giolito SP Lat Out for the season
9/20/2019 Dylan Covey SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/3/2019 Jon Jay RF Hip Out for the season
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 46-112 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has a 9-11 record with an earned run average of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 234 strikeouts over his 181.1 innings pitched and he's given up 172 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 651 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 600 hitters and walked 291 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.26. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,533 base hits and 823 earned runs. They have allowed 246 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 529 batters and struck out 1,340. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.86.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .241, good for 25th in the league. The Tigers hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 137 hits this season in 487 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .386 and an OPS+ of 93. Brandon Dixon is hitting .248 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .291. He has totaled 96 hits and he has driven in 52 men in 387 at bats. His OPS+ is 87 while his slugging percentage is at .437. The Tigers have 1,313 hits, including 288 doubles and 145 home runs. Detroit has walked 385 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,567 times as a unit. They have left 1,055 men on base and have a team OPS of .683. They score 3.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 574 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 70-88 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.57, Reynaldo Lopez has a 9-15 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 160 strikeouts over the 176 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 198 hits. He's allowing 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 526 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 529 batters and walked 269 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,418 base knocks and 762 earned runs this season. They have given up 234 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 576 hitters and struck out 1,284 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 8th in the league. The White Sox hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Tim Anderson comes into this matchup batting .338 with an OBP of .357. He has 167 hits this year along with 56 RBI in 494 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .512 with an OPS+ of 130. Jose Abreu is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 178 hits in 626 at bats while driving in 123 runs. He has an OPS+ of 119 and a slugging percentage of .505. The White Sox as a unit have 1,421 base hits, including 256 doubles and 178 homers. Chicago has walked 371 times this year and they have struck out on 1,521 occasions. They have had 1,055 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They have scored 4.39 runs per game and totaled 693 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/White Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+117)

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