Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals MLB Picks 9/5/2019

Thursday, September 5, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Glenn Sparkman

Kauffman Stadium is the site where Hunter Dozier and the Kansas City Royals (50-89, 4th in AL Central) will play the Detroit Tigers (40-96, 5th in AL Central) on Thursday. The line on this game has the Tigers priced at -115 and the Royals are at -105. The total opens at 10.

The Tigers have been a hot and cold pick for wagerers, having gone 40-96-0 SU. Kansas City covers 36.0% of the time, going 50-89-0 straight up.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been a good Over option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 63-64-9.

The Tigers cover 32.4% of the time as the away team, having gone 22-46-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals cover 38.6% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 27-43-0 SU.

The Royals have been a good Over option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 69-64-6.

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/3/2019 John Hicks C Illness Probable for Sep 4
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/28/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/3/2019 Jake Newberry RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
8/16/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 40-96 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has a 7-10 record with an earned run average of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 219 strikeouts over his 165 innings pitched and he's given up 151 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have given up 542 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen and they've struck out 487 hitters and walked 243 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,299 base hits and 702 earned runs. They have allowed 216 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 461 batters and struck out 1,146. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.92.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .239, good for 28th in the league. The Tigers hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Brandon Dixon is hitting .249 with an on-base percentage of .289. He has 86 hits this season in 345 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .443 and an OPS+ of 89. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .285 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 125 hits and he has driven in 52 men in 438 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .400. The Tigers have 1,127 hits, including 255 doubles and 128 home runs. Detroit has walked 337 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,369 times as a unit. They have left 910 men on base and have a team OPS of .683. They score 3.64 runs per contest and have scored a total of 499 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 50-89 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.86, Glenn Sparkman has a 3-10 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 66 strikeouts over the 113.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 135 hits. He's allowing 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 517 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 447 batters and walked 217 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,314 base knocks and 701 earned runs this season. They have given up 187 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 492 hitters and struck out 1,058 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.86.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Hunter Dozier comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .353. He has 121 hits this year along with 77 RBI in 436 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .537 with an OPS+ of 130. Whit Merrifield is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 176 hits in 582 at bats while driving in 69 runs. He has an OPS+ of 115 and a slugging percentage of .474. The Royals as a unit have 1,148 base hits, including 235 doubles and 141 homers. Kansas City has walked 397 times this year and they have struck out on 1,167 occasions. They have had 896 men left on base and have an OPS of .705. They have scored 4.27 runs per game and totaled 594 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers (-115)

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