Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/12/2019

Friday, April 12, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Daniel Norris vs. Michael Pineda

The Detroit Tigers visit Target Field on Friday, April 12, 2019 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Daniel Norris for the Tigers and Michael Pineda for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +164 and Minnesota at -174. The Tigers have a 3-9-0 over/under record and a 8-4-0 run line mark. The Twins are 5-5-0 against the run line and have a 6-4-0 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 3-9-0 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 8-4-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 6-4-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 5-5-0 against the run line

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

04/06/19 P Matt Moore Knee 10-day IL (04/07)
03/28/19 CF JaCoby Jones Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 8-4 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Daniel Norris has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.50 this season. He has 2 strikeouts over his 5.1 innings pitched and he's given up 5 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 8.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.72 and they have given up 26 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .186 against the bullpen and they've struck out 37 hitters and walked 14 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 6.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.5. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 73 base hits and 30 earned runs. They have allowed 12 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 33 batters and struck out 116. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 0.98 and their FIP as a unit is 3.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .199, good for 27th in the league. The Tigers hold a .311 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 6.5 hits per game. Niko Goodrum is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .413. He has 11 hits this season in 38 at bats with 6 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .526 and an OPS+ of 154. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 12 hits and he has driven in 2 men in 47 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .383. The Tigers have 78 hits, including 25 doubles and 5 home runs. Detroit has walked 45 times so far this season and they have struck out 120 times as a unit. They have left 90 men on base and have a team OPS of .600. They score 2.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 33 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 6-4 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.00, Michael Pineda has a 1-0 record and a 0.78 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 9 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 5 hits. He's allowing 5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 35 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 35 batters and walked 27 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 69 base knocks and 43 earned runs this season. They have given up 10 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 47 hitters and struck out 89 batters. They give up a walk 4.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .274, good for 6th in the league. The Twins hold a .484 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Willians Astudillo comes into this matchup batting .348 with an OBP of .385. He has 8 hits this year along with 4 RBI in 23 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .609 with an OPS+ of 170. Nelson Cruz is hitting .316 this season and he has an OBP of .480. He has collected 6 hits in 19 at bats while driving in 6 runs. He has an OPS+ of 192 and a slugging percentage of .579. The Twins as a unit have 95 base hits, including 23 doubles and 14 homers. Minnesota has walked 26 times this year and they have struck out on 78 occasions. They have had 64 men left on base and have an OPS of .823. They have scored 5.5 runs per game and totaled 55 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +164

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald