Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/14/2019

Sunday, April 14, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann vs. Jose Berrios

The Detroit Tigers visit Target Field on Sunday, April 14, 2019 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers and Jose Berrios for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +178 and Minnesota at -190. The Tigers have a 3-10-0 over/under record and a 8-5-0 run line mark. The Twins are 5-5-0 against the run line and have a 6-4-0 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 3-10-0 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 8-5-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 6-4-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 5-5-0 against the run line

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

04/11/19 RF Nicholas Castellanos Toe is questionable Friday vs Minnesota Twins
04/06/19 P Matt Moore Knee 10-day IL (04/07)
03/28/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 8-5 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 2.50 and a WHIP of 0.78 this season. He has 14 strikeouts over his 18 innings pitched and he's given up 11 hits. He's allowed 5.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.62 and they have given up 29 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .186 against the bullpen and they've struck out 41 hitters and walked 19 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 6.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.62. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 84 base hits and 34 earned runs. They have allowed 13 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 39 batters and struck out 124. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.05 and their FIP as a unit is 3.58.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .191, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .296 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .277, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.2 hits per game. Niko Goodrum is hitting .293 with an on-base percentage of .420. He has 12 hits this season in 41 at bats with 6 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .512 and an OPS+ of 149. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 12 hits and he has driven in 2 men in 47 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .383. The Tigers have 81 hits, including 25 doubles and 5 home runs. Detroit has walked 46 times so far this season and they have struck out 127 times as a unit. They have left 95 men on base and have a team OPS of .573. They score 2.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 33 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 6-4 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.18, Jose Berrios has a 1-1 record and a 0.73 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 20.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 4.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 35 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 35 batters and walked 27 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 69 base knocks and 43 earned runs this season. They have given up 10 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 47 hitters and struck out 89 batters. They give up a walk 4.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .274, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .484 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Willians Astudillo comes into this matchup batting .348 with an OBP of .385. He has 8 hits this year along with 4 RBI in 23 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .609 with an OPS+ of 165. Nelson Cruz is hitting .316 this season and he has an OBP of .480. He has collected 6 hits in 19 at bats while driving in 6 runs. He has an OPS+ of 188 and a slugging percentage of .579. The Twins as a unit have 95 base hits, including 23 doubles and 14 homers. Minnesota has walked 26 times this year and they have struck out on 78 occasions. They have had 64 men left on base and have an OPS of .823. They have scored 5.5 runs per game and totaled 55 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +178

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