Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/23/2019
Friday, August 23, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Jose Berrios
Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (77-50, 1st in AL Central) play the Detroit Tigers (38-86, 5th in AL Central) at Target Field on Friday, August 23, 2019. The line on this game has the Tigers coming in at +190 and the Twins are at -205. The total opens at 8.5.
The Tigers have been bad for MLB bettors, having gone 37-86-0 SU. The Twins are covering 61.1% of the time, going 77-49-0 straight up.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been a dicey Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 54-60-9.
Detroit is covering 32.3% of the time on the road, having gone 20-42-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
Minnesota is covering 57.8% of the time at Target Field, going 37-27-0 SU.
The Twins have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 65-54-7.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
8/22/2019 Jeimer Candelario 3B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/21/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Probable for Aug 22
8/21/2019 Christin Stewart LF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/14/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
7/24/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
8/21/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/16/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/3/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 38-86 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has a 6-9 record with an earned run average of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 201 strikeouts over his 153 innings pitched and he's given up 141 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.98 and they have given up 487 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen and they've struck out 437 hitters and walked 219 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.09. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,177 base hits and 629 earned runs. They have allowed 189 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 416 batters and struck out 1,035. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.
As a team Detroit is hitting .236, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .341. He has 115 hits this season in 410 at bats with 50 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .390 and an OPS+ of 92. Niko Goodrum is hitting .249 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 104 hits and he has driven in 44 men in 418 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .416. The Tigers have 1,012 hits, including 228 doubles and 117 home runs. Detroit has walked 321 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,241 times as a unit. They have left 840 men on base and have a team OPS of .679. They score 3.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 449 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 77-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.37, Jose Berrios has a 10-6 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 150 strikeouts over the 157.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 148 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 435 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 447 batters and walked 149 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,128 base knocks and 530 earned runs this season. They have given up 159 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 364 hitters and struck out 1,105 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .499 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .358. He has 150 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 508 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .496 with an OPS+ of 124. Max Kepler is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .334. He has collected 119 hits in 468 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .532. The Twins as a unit have 1,222 base hits, including 261 doubles and 244 homers. Minnesota has walked 400 times this year and they have struck out on 1,028 occasions. They have had 871 men left on base and have an OPS of .836. They have scored 5.83 runs per game and totaled 740 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+190)
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