Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/24/2019
Saturday, August 24, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Edwin Jackson vs. Kyle Gibson
Target Field is the site where Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins (77-50, 1st in AL Central) will take on the Detroit Tigers (38-87, 5th in AL Central) on Saturday. The Tigers open this matchup at +268 while the Twins are coming in at -300. The over/under opens at 10.5.
The Tigers have been terrible for MLB wagerers, having gone 38-87-0 SU. The Twins cover 60.6% of the time, going 77-50-0 straight up.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been a decent Under choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 55-61-9.
Detroit is covering 32.8% of the time as the visitor, having gone 21-43-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins cover 56.9% of the time at Target Field, going 37-28-0 SU.
The Twins have been a less than ideal Under choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 65-55-7.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
8/22/2019 Jeimer Candelario 3B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/14/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
7/24/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
8/21/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Hamstring Probable for Aug 23
8/16/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/3/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 38-87 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Edwin Jackson has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 8.46 and a WHIP of 1.88 this season. He has 33 strikeouts over his 44.2 innings pitched and he's given up 64 hits. He's allowed 12.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 493 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 438 hitters and walked 223 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.1. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,186 base hits and 635 earned runs. They have allowed 190 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 421 batters and struck out 1,040. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.
As a team Detroit is hitting .235, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Niko Goodrum is hitting .249 with an on-base percentage of .321. He has 105 hits this season in 422 at bats with 45 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .422 and an OPS+ of 93. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 115 hits and he has driven in 50 men in 413 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .387. The Tigers have 1,017 hits, including 228 doubles and 119 home runs. Detroit has walked 324 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,255 times as a unit. They have left 845 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 452 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 77-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.40, Kyle Gibson has a 11-6 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 133 strikeouts over the 139 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 137 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 435 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 447 batters and walked 149 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,128 base knocks and 530 earned runs this season. They have given up 159 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 364 hitters and struck out 1,105 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .499 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .334. He has 119 hits this year along with 84 RBI in 468 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .532 with an OPS+ of 125. Jorge Polanco is hitting .295 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 150 hits in 508 at bats while driving in 66 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .496. The Twins as a unit have 1,222 base hits, including 261 doubles and 244 homers. Minnesota has walked 400 times this year and they have struck out on 1,028 occasions. They have had 871 men left on base and have an OPS of .836. They have scored 5.83 runs per game and totaled 740 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+268)
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