Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/25/2019
Sunday, August 25, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Martin Perez
Brandon Dixon and the Detroit Tigers (39-87, 5th in AL Central) go to Target Field on Sunday where they'll meet the Minnesota Twins (77-51, 1st in AL Central). The Tigers open this game at +170 while the Twins are priced at -180. The total is set at 9.5.
The Tigers have been a lousy choice for MLB bettors, having gone 39-87-0 SU. The Twins cover 60.2% of the time, going 77-51-0 straight up.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been an inconsistent Over play for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 56-61-9.
Detroit is covering 33.9% of the time as the away team, having gone 22-43-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins cover 56.1% of the time at Target Field, going 37-29-0 SU.
The Twins have been an inconsistent Under play for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 66-55-7.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
8/24/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/23/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/14/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
8/23/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Hamstring Probable for Aug 24
8/23/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/16/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 39-87 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has a 6-9 record with an earned run average of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 201 strikeouts over his 153 innings pitched and he's given up 141 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 497 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 441 hitters and walked 225 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.11. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,195 base hits and 641 earned runs. They have allowed 194 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 424 batters and struck out 1,054. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.85.
As a team Detroit is hitting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Brandon Dixon is hitting .252 with an on-base percentage of .292. He has 81 hits this season in 321 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .452 and an OPS+ of 91. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 117 hits and he has driven in 50 men in 417 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .388. The Tigers have 1,034 hits, including 233 doubles and 120 home runs. Detroit has walked 327 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,263 times as a unit. They have left 853 men on base and have a team OPS of .681. They score 3.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 461 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 77-51 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.60, Martin Perez has a 8-5 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 111 strikeouts over the 133 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 139 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 442 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 450 batters and walked 150 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,145 base knocks and 539 earned runs this season. They have given up 160 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 367 hitters and struck out 1,113 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .500 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .333. He has 119 hits this year along with 84 RBI in 472 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .528 with an OPS+ of 123. Jorge Polanco is hitting .295 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 151 hits in 512 at bats while driving in 66 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .494. The Twins as a unit have 1,231 base hits, including 262 doubles and 248 homers. Minnesota has walked 403 times this year and they have struck out on 1,042 occasions. They have had 877 men left on base and have an OPS of .837. They have scored 5.83 runs per game and totaled 746 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+170)
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