Detroit Tigers at New York Mets MLB Game Picks 5/25/2019

Saturday, May 25, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Nick Ramirez vs. Jason Vargas

Citi Field is the site where Amed Rosario and the New York Mets (24-25, 3rd in NL East) will play the Detroit Tigers (18-29, 4th in AL Central) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Tigers coming in at +119 and the Mets are at -129. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Tigers have been a lousy choice for wagerers, having gone 18-29-0 SU. The Mets cover 49.0% of the time, going 24-25-0 straight up. The Mets have been solid for oddsmakers as favorites, going 13-13-0 SU. Detroit is covering 31.4% of the time as the underdog, having gone 11-24-0 straight up.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been a terrible Over pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 20-26-1.

The Tigers cover 42.9% of the time as the road team, having gone 9-12-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York is covering 61.9% of the time at Citi Field, going 13-8-0 SU.

The Mets have been a great Over pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 25-20-4.

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

05/13/19 P Tyson Ross Elbow 10-day IL (05/13)
05/09/19 SS Jordy Mercer Quad 10-day IL (05/09)
05/01/19 P Matt Moore Knee 60-day IL (04/30); is out for season
04/26/19 P Jordan Zimmermann Elbow 10-day IL (04/26)
03/28/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)

Key New York Mets Injuries

05/23/19 P Jason Vargas Hamstring 10-day IL (05/06); expected to start Saturday vs Detroit Tigers
05/23/19 2B Jeff McNeil Hamstring 10-day IL (05/23)
05/23/19 2B Robinson Cano Quad 10-day IL (05/23)
05/22/19 LF Brandon Nimmo Neck 10-day IL (05/21)
05/20/19 P Seth Lugo Shoulder 10-day IL (05/20)
05/17/19 LF Michael Conforto Concussion 7-day IL (05/17)
05/11/19 P Justin Wilson Elbow 10-day IL (05/11)
05/05/19 P Luis Avilan Elbow 10-day IL (05/04)
03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 60-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day IL (03/25); is out for season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 18-29 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Nick Ramirez has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 10 strikeouts over his 11 innings pitched and he's given up 10 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.59 and they have given up 188 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen and they've struck out 150 hitters and walked 85 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.94. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 436 base hits and 234 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 169 batters and struck out 382. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .221, good for 26th in the league. The Tigers hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .287, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .370. He has 51 hits this season in 171 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .363 and an OPS+ of 98. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .264 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .315. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 13 men in 182 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .440. The Tigers have 351 hits, including 90 doubles and 37 home runs. Detroit has walked 136 times so far this season and they have struck out 462 times as a unit. They have left 313 men on base and have a team OPS of .650. They score 3.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 158 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 24-25 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.92, Jason Vargas has a 1-2 record and a 1.56 WHIP. He has 20 strikeouts over the 24.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 26 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 153 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 177 batters and walked 79 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 416 base knocks and 214 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 168 hitters and struck out 455 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 22nd in the league. The Mets hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .256 with an OBP of .298. He has 46 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 180 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .389 with an OPS+ of 91. Pete Alonso is hitting .250 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 44 hits in 176 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .580. The Mets as a unit have 408 base hits, including 80 doubles and 56 homers. New York has walked 174 times this year and they have struck out on 470 occasions. They have had 350 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They have scored 4.53 runs per game and totaled 222 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets -129

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