Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/26/2019
Friday, July 26, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Daniel Norris vs. Yusei Kikuchi
T-Mobile Park is the venue where Omar Narvaez and the Seattle Mariners (42-63, 5th in AL West) will play the Detroit Tigers (30-67, 5th in AL Central) on Friday. The line on this matchup has the Tigers coming in at +125 and the Mariners are at -135. The O/U is set at 9.5.
The Tigers have been a bad pick for baseball bettors, having gone 30-67-0 SU. Seattle is covering 40.0% of the time, going 42-63-0 straight up. The Mariners have been a very good bet for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 15-12-0 SU. Detroit is covering 28.1% of the time as the underdog, having gone 23-59-0 straight up.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been a pretty good Under choice for over/under bettors, having gone 45-47-5.
Detroit is covering 36.2% of the time as the away team, having gone 17-30-0 straight up.
Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
Seattle is covering 40.7% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 22-32-0 SU.
The Mariners have been a strong Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 65-36-4.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
7/24/2019 Victor Alcantara RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/24/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
7/24/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/20/2019 Spencer Turnbull SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/13/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
7/24/2019 Domingo Santana LF Elbow Probable for Jul 25
7/24/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/24/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/24/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/23/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/23/2019 Dee Gordon 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/20/2019 Austin Adams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/20/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/12/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/12/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
7/8/2019 Dan Altavilla RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 30-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Daniel Norris has a 2-8 record with an earned run average of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 82 strikeouts over his 100.1 innings pitched and he's given up 119 hits. He's allowed 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 379 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 327 hitters and walked 158 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 930 base hits and 497 earned runs. They have allowed 149 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 311 batters and struck out 788. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.83.
As a team Detroit is hitting .232, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .343. He has 89 hits this season in 319 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .367 and an OPS+ of 89. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 108 hits and he has driven in 37 men in 383 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .478. The Tigers have 778 hits, including 188 doubles and 89 home runs. Detroit has walked 257 times so far this season and they have struck out 970 times as a unit. They have left 653 men on base and have a team OPS of .673. They score 3.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 352 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Seattle has a 42-63 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.37, Yusei Kikuchi has a 4-7 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 79 strikeouts over the 107.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 121 hits. He's allowing 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.59. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.19 and they have given up 402 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 406 batters and walked 203 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.32. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 995 base knocks and 550 earned runs this season. They have given up 181 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 334 hitters and struck out 802 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 5.21.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 24th in the league. The Mariners hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Omar Narvaez comes into this matchup batting .290 with an OBP of .360. He has 85 hits this year along with 40 RBI in 293 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .478 with an OPS+ of 126. Domingo Santana is hitting .273 this season and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 107 hits in 392 at bats while driving in 65 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .472. The Mariners as a unit have 871 base hits, including 173 doubles and 170 homers. Seattle has walked 375 times this year and they have struck out on 1,011 occasions. They have had 706 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They have scored 4.92 runs per game and totaled 517 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Mariners MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +125
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