Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/27/2019
Saturday, July 27, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Tyler Alexander vs. Marco Gonzales
Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers (30-68, 5th in AL Central) head to T-Mobile Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Seattle Mariners (43-63, 5th in AL West). The Mariners open this matchup at -160 while the Tigers are coming in at +150. The total has been set at 9.5.
The Tigers have been an awful play for wagerers, having gone 30-68-0 SU. The Mariners are covering 40.6% of the time, going 43-63-0 straight up. The Mariners have been excellent for baseball wagerers as a favorite, going 16-12-0 SU. Detroit is covering 27.7% of the time as the underdog, having gone 23-60-0 straight up.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been a good Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 46-47-5.
Detroit is covering 35.4% of the time on the road, having gone 17-31-0 straight up.
Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Mariners are covering 41.8% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 23-32-0 SU.
The Mariners have been an awful Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 66-36-4.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
7/24/2019 Victor Alcantara RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/24/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/24/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
7/20/2019 Spencer Turnbull SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/13/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
7/26/2019 Tim Lopes 2B Head Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/25/2019 Domingo Santana LF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/24/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/24/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/24/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/23/2019 Dee Gordon 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/20/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/20/2019 Austin Adams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/12/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
7/12/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/8/2019 Dan Altavilla RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 30-68 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tyler Alexander has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.75 this season. He has 5 strikeouts over his 12 innings pitched and he's given up 8 hits. He's allowed 6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 382 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 334 hitters and walked 161 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.17. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 939 base hits and 506 earned runs. They have allowed 151 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 318 batters and struck out 799. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.85.
As a team Detroit is hitting .231, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .282 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 109 hits this season in 387 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .475 and an OPS+ of 113. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 89 hits and he has driven in 37 men in 323 at bats. His OPS+ is 88 while his slugging percentage is at .362. The Tigers have 783 hits, including 188 doubles and 90 home runs. Detroit has walked 259 times so far this season and they have struck out 978 times as a unit. They have left 659 men on base and have a team OPS of .671. They score 3.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 354 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Seattle has a 43-63 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.37, Marco Gonzales has a 11-8 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 91 strikeouts over the 127.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 137 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.12 and they have given up 407 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 411 batters and walked 204 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.28. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,000 base knocks and 551 earned runs this season. They have given up 182 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 336 hitters and struck out 810 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 5.19.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 23rd in the league. The Mariners hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Mallex Smith comes into this matchup batting .233 with an OBP of .303. He has 78 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 335 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .358 with an OPS+ of 79. Omar Narvaez is hitting .290 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 86 hits in 297 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .478. The Mariners as a unit have 880 base hits, including 177 doubles and 172 homers. Seattle has walked 382 times this year and they have struck out on 1,022 occasions. They have had 713 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They have scored 4.97 runs per game and totaled 527 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Mariners MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +150
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