Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox MLB Game Picks 5/19/2019
Sunday, May 19, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Brad Peacock vs. Chris Sale
Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (30-15, 1st in AL West) head to Fenway Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (23-21, 3rd in AL East). The odds on this matchup have the Astros priced at +152 and the Red Sox are at -162. The total is set at 8.5.
The Astros have been bad for oddsmakers, having gone 30-15-0 SU. The Red Sox cover 52.3% of the time, going 23-21-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been inconsistent for Las Vegas as favorites, going 20-19-0 SU.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a decent Under option for over/under bettors, having gone 20-23-2.
The Astros cover 52.2% of the time as a visitor, having gone 12-11-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston covers 57.1% of the time at Fenway Park, going 12-9-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been a rough Under option for over/under bettors, having gone 26-17-1.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
05/11/19 2B Jose Altuve Hamstring 10-day IL (05/11)
03/28/19 P Joe Smith Achilles 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Lance McCullers Jr Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
05/18/19 C Sandy Leon Paternity List is doubtful Saturday vs Houston Astros
05/06/19 P David Price Elbow 10-day IL (05/03)
05/03/19 SS Tzu-Wei Lin Knee 10-day IL (05/04)
04/20/19 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 10-day IL (04/18)
04/19/19 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day IL (04/18)
04/06/19 P Brian Johnson Elbow 10-day IL (04/06)
04/06/19 2B Brock Holt Eye 10-day IL (04/06)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 30-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brad Peacock has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 41 strikeouts over his 42.2 innings pitched and he's given up 34 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.82 and they have given up 96 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .197 against the bullpen and they've struck out 145 hitters and walked 43 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.46. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 296 base hits and 152 earned runs. They have allowed 52 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 115 batters and struck out 435. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.04 and their FIP as a unit is 3.60.
As a team Houston is hitting .280, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .508 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .324 with an on-base percentage of .376. He has 55 hits this season in 170 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .565 and an OPS+ of 150. George Springer is hitting .320 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .402. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 42 men in 175 at bats. His OPS+ is 181 while his slugging percentage is at .663. The Astros have 429 hits, including 82 doubles and 84 home runs. Houston has walked 166 times so far this season and they have struck out 323 times as a unit. They have left 315 men on base and have a team OPS of .859. They score 5.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 248 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 23-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.24, Chris Sale has a 1-5 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 51 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 41 hits. He's allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 130 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 194 batters and walked 63 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 348 base knocks and 189 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 141 hitters and struck out 442 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 11th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .321 with an OBP of .401. He has 52 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 162 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .543 with an OPS+ of 148. Mookie Betts is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .399. He has collected 47 hits in 164 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .482. The Red Sox as a unit have 382 base hits, including 79 doubles and 58 homers. Boston has walked 188 times this year and they have struck out on 357 occasions. They have had 318 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They have scored 5.25 runs per game and totaled 231 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox -162
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