Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/13/2019
Tuesday, August 13, 2019
Guaranteed Rate Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Gerrit Cole vs. Ivan Nova
Tim Anderson and the Chicago White Sox (52-63, 3rd in AL Central) play the Houston Astros (77-40, 1st in AL West) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Tuesday, August 13, 2019.
The Astros have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 77-40-0 SU. Chicago covers 45.2% of the time, going 52-63-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a good Under bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 51-62-4.
Houston covers 56.1% of the time as the away team, having gone 32-25-0 straight up.
Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends
Chicago covers 49.1% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 28-29-0 SU.
The White Sox have been a good Under bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 52-59-4.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
8/7/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
8/6/2019 Josh James RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Chicago White Sox Injuries
8/6/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/5/2019 Kelvin Herrera RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
8/3/2019 Carson Fulmer RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/31/2019 Yoan Moncada 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 77-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has a 14-5 record with an earned run average of 2.87 and a WHIP of 0.98 this season. He has 226 strikeouts over his 156.2 innings pitched and he's given up 114 hits. He's allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen and they've struck out 422 hitters and walked 141 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 850 base hits and 430 earned runs. They have allowed 171 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 332 batters and struck out 1,179. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.12 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team Houston is hitting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .489 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .380. He has 96 hits this season in 330 at bats with 65 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .585 and an OPS+ of 151. Michael Brantley is hitting .324 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 139 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 429 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .515. The Astros have 1,109 hits, including 232 doubles and 198 home runs. Houston has walked 445 times so far this season and they have struck out 838 times as a unit. They have left 830 men on base and have a team OPS of .839. They score 5.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 646 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 52-63 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.80, Ivan Nova has a 7-9 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 86 strikeouts over the 138.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 159 hits. He's allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 378 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 361 batters and walked 184 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,032 base knocks and 546 earned runs this season. They have given up 165 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 417 hitters and struck out 906 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 13th in the league. The White Sox hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Tim Anderson comes into this matchup batting .325 with an OBP of .348. He has 103 hits this year along with 39 RBI in 317 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .492 with an OPS+ of 120. Jose Abreu is hitting .272 this season and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 125 hits in 460 at bats while driving in 83 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .483. The White Sox as a unit have 995 base hits, including 170 doubles and 126 homers. Chicago has walked 271 times this year and they have struck out on 1,106 occasions. They have had 762 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They have scored 4.16 runs per game and totaled 478 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/White Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros
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