Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/14/2019

Tuesday, May 14, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Ryan Carpenter

The Houston Astros visit Comerica Park on Tuesday, May 14, 2019 to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Wade Miley for the Astros and Ryan Carpenter for the Tigers.

The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -178 and Detroit at +168. The Astros have a 18-21-2 over/under record and a 20-21-0 run line mark. The Tigers are 19-19-0 against the run line and have a 16-22-0 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 18-21-2 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 20-21-0 against the run line

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 16-22-0 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 19-19-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

05/11/19 2B Jose Altuve Hamstring 10-day IL (05/11)
03/28/19 P Joe Smith Achilles 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Lance McCullers Jr Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

05/13/19 2B Josh Harrison Shoulder 10-day IL (04/27); expected to be activated Monday vs Houston Astros
05/13/19 P Tyson Ross Elbow 10-day IL (05/13)
05/09/19 SS Jordy Mercer Quad 10-day IL (05/09)
05/01/19 P Matt Moore Knee 60-day IL (04/30); is out for season
04/26/19 P Jordan Zimmermann Elbow 10-day IL (04/26)
03/28/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 26-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.10 this season. He has 30 strikeouts over his 45.1 innings pitched and he's given up 39 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.05 and they have given up 91 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the bullpen and they've struck out 127 hitters and walked 38 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 273 base hits and 145 earned runs. They have allowed 50 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 101 batters and struck out 393. They have walked 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.04 and their FIP as a unit is 3.69.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .281, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .503 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .321 with an on-base percentage of .400. He has 51 hits this season in 159 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .660 and an OPS+ of 182. Michael Brantley is hitting .331 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 51 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 154 at bats. His OPS+ is 158 while his slugging percentage is at .591. The Astros have 390 hits, including 76 doubles and 75 home runs. Houston has walked 150 times so far this season and they have struck out 299 times as a unit. They have left 287 men on base and have a team OPS of .856. They score 5.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 221 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 18-20 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 10.80, Ryan Carpenter has a 0-1 record and a 1.80 WHIP. He has 2 strikeouts over the 5 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 8 hits. He's allowing 14.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 8.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.37 and they have given up 142 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .275 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 126 batters and walked 66 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 333 base knocks and 173 earned runs this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 135 hitters and struck out 313 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 25th in the league. The Tigers hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .358. He has 42 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 143 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .357 with an OPS+ of 95. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 40 hits in 144 at bats while driving in 12 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .465. The Tigers as a unit have 291 base hits, including 79 doubles and 32 homers. Detroit has walked 112 times this year and they have struck out on 371 occasions. They have had 261 men left on base and have an OPS of .674. They have scored 3.53 runs per game and totaled 134 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Astros -178

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