Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals MLB Point Spread Picks 9/15/2019

Sunday, September 15, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Jakob Junis

Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros (96-53, 1st in AL West) are headed to Kauffman Stadium on Sunday where they'll take on the Kansas City Royals (55-93, 4th in AL Central). The Royals open this game at +207 while the Astros are coming in at -225. The O/U is set at 10.

The Astros have been an excellent pick for MLB wagerers, having gone 96-53-0 SU. The Royals are covering 37.2% of the time, going 55-93-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a decent Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 66-77-6.

Houston is covering 53.5% of the time away from home, having gone 38-33-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals are covering 38.4% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 28-45-0 SU.

The Royals have been a decent Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 75-67-6.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/14/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/10/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/9/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/5/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2019 Carlos Correa SS Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/12/2019 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Toe Out for the season
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
8/16/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 96-53 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 13-5 record with an earned run average of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 134 strikeouts over his 156.1 innings pitched and he's given up 148 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 440 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen and they've struck out 554 hitters and walked 181 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,115 base hits and 561 earned runs. They have allowed 221 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 418 batters and struck out 1,530. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.14 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .416. He has 151 hits this season in 513 at bats with 103 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .573 and an OPS+ of 156. Michael Brantley is hitting .321 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 172 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 536 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .519. The Astros have 1,421 hits, including 302 doubles and 257 home runs. Houston has walked 587 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,075 times as a unit. They have left 1,067 men on base and have a team OPS of .846. They score 5.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 845 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 55-93 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.06, Jakob Junis has a 9-13 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 162 strikeouts over the 172.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 185 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.03 and they have given up 545 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 484 batters and walked 238 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,392 base knocks and 741 earned runs this season. They have given up 198 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 526 hitters and struck out 1,132 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .304 with an OBP of .352. He has 189 hits this year along with 72 RBI in 621 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .470 with an OPS+ of 114. Hunter Dozier is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 135 hits in 467 at bats while driving in 82 runs. He has an OPS+ of 136 and a slugging percentage of .550. The Royals as a unit have 1,228 base hits, including 248 doubles and 154 homers. Kansas City has walked 420 times this year and they have struck out on 1,253 occasions. They have had 955 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They have scored 4.26 runs per game and totaled 631 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros (-225)

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