Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/16/2019
Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh vs. Andrew Heaney
Angel Stadium is the site where David Fletcher and the Los Angeles Angels (48-46, 4th in AL West) will play the Houston Astros (59-35, 1st in AL West) on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Astros priced at -135 and the Angels are at +125. The over/under opens at 9.5.
The Astros have been a strong option for MLB bettors, having gone 58-35-0 SU. The Angels are covering 50.5% of the time, going 47-46-0 straight up. The Astros have been very good for MLB bettors as favorites, going 56-30-0 SU. Los Angeles covers 42.2% of the time as the underdog, having gone 19-26-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a less than ideal Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 41-48-4.
The Astros are covering 52.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 23-21-0 straight up.
Important Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
Los Angeles covers 55.8% of the time at Angel Stadium, going 24-19-0 SU.
The Angels have been a less than ideal Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 43-43-7.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
7/14/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/11/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries
7/14/2019 Mike Trout CF Calf Probable for Jul 15
7/14/2019 Brian Goodwin LF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/14/2019 Jonathan Lucroy C Nose Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/12/2019 Zack Cozart 3B Shoulder Out for the season
7/12/2019 JC Ramirez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/3/2019 Stella Tommy La Stella 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
6/26/2019 Keynan Middleton RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 59-35 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Collin McHugh has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 57 strikeouts over his 53 innings pitched and he's given up 43 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have given up 267 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen and they've struck out 342 hitters and walked 116 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 701 base hits and 369 earned runs. They have allowed 146 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 269 batters and struck out 947. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team Houston is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Astros hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .324 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 113 hits this season in 349 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 135. George Springer is hitting .300 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .385. He has totaled 73 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 243 at bats. His OPS+ is 153 while his slugging percentage is at .576. The Astros have 868 hits, including 177 doubles and 149 home runs. Houston has walked 359 times so far this season and they have struck out 663 times as a unit. They have left 671 men on base and have a team OPS of .817. They score 5.16 runs per contest and have scored a total of 485 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 48-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.18, Andrew Heaney has a 1-3 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 41.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 35 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 404 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Angels bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 456 batters and walked 182 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 784 base knocks and 446 earned runs this season. They have given up 151 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 329 hitters and struck out 839 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 9th in the league. The Angels hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. David Fletcher comes into this matchup batting .298 with an OBP of .362. He has 93 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 312 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .417 with an OPS+ of 109. Mike Trout is hitting .305 this season and he has an OBP of .455. He has collected 95 hits in 311 at bats while driving in 75 runs. He has an OPS+ of 195 and a slugging percentage of .666. The Angels as a unit have 841 base hits, including 153 doubles and 139 homers. Los Angeles has walked 346 times this year and they have struck out on 650 occasions. They have had 671 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They have scored 5.16 runs per game and totaled 485 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Angels MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros -135
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