Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/17/2019
Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Gerrit Cole vs. Taylor Cole
Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels (49-46, 4th in AL West) play the Houston Astros (59-36, 1st in AL West) at Angel Stadium on Wednesday, July 17, 2019. The Angels open this contest at +120 while the Astros are priced at -130. The over/under has been set at 10.
The Astros have been a great choice for wagerers, having gone 59-36-0 SU. The Angels cover 51.6% of the time, going 49-46-0 straight up. The Astros have been terrible for oddsmakers as favorites, going 57-31-0 SU. Los Angeles has gone 20-26-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 43.5% of the time.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a less than ideal Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 43-48-4.
Houston is covering 52.2% of the time as the road team, having gone 24-22-0 straight up.
Important Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Angels cover 57.8% of the time at Angel Stadium, going 26-19-0 SU.
The Angels have been a less than ideal Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 44-44-7.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
7/15/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/14/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries
7/15/2019 Mike Trout CF Calf Probable for Jul 16
7/15/2019 Brian Goodwin LF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/14/2019 Jonathan Lucroy C Nose Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/12/2019 JC Ramirez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/12/2019 Zack Cozart 3B Shoulder Out for the season
7/3/2019 Stella Tommy La Stella 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
6/26/2019 Keynan Middleton RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 59-36 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has a 9-5 record with an earned run average of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 183 strikeouts over his 122.2 innings pitched and he's given up 94 hits. He's allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 277 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen and they've struck out 348 hitters and walked 120 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 711 base hits and 374 earned runs. They have allowed 147 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 273 batters and struck out 954. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team Houston is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Astros hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .389. He has 76 hits this season in 248 at bats with 50 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .601 and an OPS+ of 159. Michael Brantley is hitting .323 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .381. He has totaled 113 hits and he has driven in 49 men in 350 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Astros have 877 hits, including 177 doubles and 151 home runs. Houston has walked 368 times so far this season and they have struck out 669 times as a unit. They have left 682 men on base and have a team OPS of .817. They score 5.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 491 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 49-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.60, Taylor Cole has a 0-1 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 25 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 23 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 411 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Angels bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 460 batters and walked 185 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 793 base knocks and 452 earned runs this season. They have given up 153 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 338 hitters and struck out 845 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 9th in the league. The Angels hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Mike Trout comes into this matchup batting .305 with an OBP of .455. He has 95 hits this year along with 75 RBI in 311 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .666 with an OPS+ of 195. David Fletcher is hitting .300 this season and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 95 hits in 317 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .423. The Angels as a unit have 851 base hits, including 158 doubles and 140 homers. Los Angeles has walked 350 times this year and they have struck out on 657 occasions. They have had 677 men left on base and have an OPS of .783. They have scored 5.2 runs per game and totaled 494 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Angels MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros -130
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