Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/18/2019
Thursday, July 18, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Matt Harvey
Angel Stadium is the site where David Fletcher and the Los Angeles Angels (50-46, 4th in AL West) will take on the Houston Astros (59-37, 1st in AL West) on Thursday. The Astros open this game at -140 while the Angels are priced at +130. The O/U has been set at 9.5.
The Astros have been a great choice for bettors, having gone 59-37-0 SU. Los Angeles is covering 52.1% of the time, going 50-46-0 straight up. The Astros have been a great choice for bettors as favorites, going 57-32-0 SU. Los Angeles is covering 44.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 21-26-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a hot and cold Over pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 43-49-4.
Houston is covering 51.1% of the time as a visitor, having gone 24-23-0 straight up.
Important Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Angels cover 58.7% of the time at Angel Stadium, going 27-19-0 SU.
The Angels have been a hot and cold Over pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 44-45-7.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
7/15/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/14/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries
7/16/2019 Mike Trout CF Calf Probable for Jul 17
7/14/2019 Jonathan Lucroy C Nose Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/12/2019 Zack Cozart 3B Shoulder Out for the season
7/12/2019 JC Ramirez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/3/2019 Stella Tommy La Stella 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
6/26/2019 Keynan Middleton RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 59-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.15 this season. He has 91 strikeouts over his 108.1 innings pitched and he's given up 90 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 281 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 353 hitters and walked 123 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 720 base hits and 380 earned runs. They have allowed 147 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 277 batters and struck out 960. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.16 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team Houston is hitting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Astros hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .323 with an on-base percentage of .381. He has 113 hits this season in 350 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .503 and an OPS+ of 134. George Springer is hitting .306 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .389. He has totaled 76 hits and he has driven in 50 men in 248 at bats. His OPS+ is 159 while his slugging percentage is at .601. The Astros have 889 hits, including 178 doubles and 151 home runs. Houston has walked 371 times so far this season and they have struck out 678 times as a unit. They have left 696 men on base and have a team OPS of .816. They score 5.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 493 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 50-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.88, Matt Harvey has a 3-4 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 38 strikeouts over the 53.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 56 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 416 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Angels bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 464 batters and walked 186 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 806 base knocks and 454 earned runs this season. They have given up 153 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 341 hitters and struck out 854 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 8th in the league. The Angels hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. David Fletcher comes into this matchup batting .300 with an OBP of .363. He has 95 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 317 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .423 with an OPS+ of 110. Mike Trout is hitting .305 this season and he has an OBP of .455. He has collected 95 hits in 311 at bats while driving in 75 runs. He has an OPS+ of 195 and a slugging percentage of .666. The Angels as a unit have 860 base hits, including 163 doubles and 140 homers. Los Angeles has walked 354 times this year and they have struck out on 663 occasions. They have had 683 men left on base and have an OPS of .784. They have scored 5.22 runs per game and totaled 501 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Angels MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros -140
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