Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels MLB Point Spread Picks 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Angel Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Jose Suarez

Angel Stadium is the venue where Kole Calhoun and the Los Angeles Angels (72-87, 4th in AL West) will play the Houston Astros (104-55, 1st in AL West) on Saturday. The odds on this matchup have the Astros coming in at -240 and the Angels are at +220. The total has been set at 10.5.

The Astros have been strong for baseball bettors, having gone 104-55-0 SU. The Angels cover 45.3% of the time, going 72-87-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a dicey Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 70-83-6.

The Astros cover 55.3% of the time as the visitor, having gone 42-34-0 straight up.

Important Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends

Los Angeles covers 50.0% of the time at Angel Stadium, going 38-38-0 SU.

The Angels have been a dicey Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 77-75-7.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/27/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/26/2019 Carlos Correa SS Back Out for the season
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Out for the season
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries

9/27/2019 Brian Goodwin LF Back Probable for Sep 27
9/27/2019 Jaime Barria SP Toe Out for the season
9/26/2019 Stella Tommy La Stella 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/24/2019 Max Stassi C Hip Out for the season
9/24/2019 Griffin Canning SP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2019 Luis Rengifo 2B Hand Out for the season
9/15/2019 Mike Trout CF Foot Out for the season
9/14/2019 Justin Upton LF Knee Out for the season
9/12/2019 Shohei Ohtani DH Knee Out for the season
9/11/2019 Cam Bedrosian RP Forearm Out for the season
8/5/2019 Felix Pena RP Knee Out for the season
7/12/2019 Zack Cozart 3B Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 104-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 20-6 record with an earned run average of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.81 this season. He has 288 strikeouts over his 217 innings pitched and he's given up 133 hits. He's allowed 5.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.27. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 465 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen and they've struck out 597 hitters and walked 194 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,189 base hits and 587 earned runs. They have allowed 226 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 442 batters and struck out 1,636. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.14 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .420. He has 162 hits this season in 547 at bats with 110 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .590 and an OPS+ of 161. Michael Brantley is hitting .312 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 177 hits and he has driven in 86 men in 568 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .498. The Astros have 1,515 hits, including 317 doubles and 281 home runs. Houston has walked 630 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,141 times as a unit. They have left 1,149 men on base and have a team OPS of .848. They score 5.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 902 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Los Angeles has a 72-87 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.34, Jose Suarez has a 2-6 record and a 1.68 WHIP. He has 66 strikeouts over the 76 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 97 hits. He's allowing 11.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 715 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Angels bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 750 batters and walked 311 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.1. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,394 base knocks and 802 earned runs this season. They have given up 260 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 561 hitters and struck out 1,379 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 5.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 17th in the league. The Angels hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Kole Calhoun comes into this matchup batting .232 with an OBP of .324. He has 126 hits this year along with 74 RBI in 543 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .470 with an OPS+ of 109. David Fletcher is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 171 hits in 583 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .389. The Angels as a unit have 1,352 base hits, including 264 doubles and 216 homers. Los Angeles has walked 580 times this year and they have struck out on 1,241 occasions. They have had 1,111 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They have scored 4.79 runs per game and totaled 761 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Angels MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros (-240)

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