Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/2/2019

Monday, September 2, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Gerrit Cole vs. Adrian Houser

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (69-66, 3rd in NL Central) play the Houston Astros (88-49, 1st in AL West) at Miller Park on Monday, September 2, 2019. The odds on this contest have the Astros priced at -165 and the Brewers are at +155. The over/under has been set at 8.5.

The Astros have been strong for MLB wagerers, having gone 88-49-0 SU. Milwaukee covers 51.1% of the time, going 69-66-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a dicey Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 61-70-6.

Houston covers 52.2% of the time on the road, having gone 35-32-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee covers 57.4% of the time at Miller Park, going 39-29-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a dicey Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 59-71-5.

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Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/1/2019 Yuli Gurriel 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/31/2019 Collin McHugh RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2019 Carlos Correa SS Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/22/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/21/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/1/2019 Mike Moustakas 3B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
9/1/2019 Ryan Braun LF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/31/2019 Keston Hiura 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2019 Lorenzo Cain CF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/17/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 88-49 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has a 15-5 record with an earned run average of 2.85 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 252 strikeouts over his 170.1 innings pitched and he's given up 122 hits. He's allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 398 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 497 hitters and walked 168 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,031 base hits and 511 earned runs. They have allowed 203 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 388 batters and struck out 1,376. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .275, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .489 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .332 with an on-base percentage of .392. He has 165 hits this season in 497 at bats with 80 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .533 and an OPS+ of 142. George Springer is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 121 hits and he has driven in 77 men in 410 at bats. His OPS+ is 148 while his slugging percentage is at .568. The Astros have 1,302 hits, including 275 doubles and 230 home runs. Houston has walked 539 times so far this season and they have struck out 980 times as a unit. They have left 987 men on base and have a team OPS of .841. They score 5.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 766 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 69-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.52, Adrian Houser has a 6-5 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 87 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 81 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 487 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 596 batters and walked 245 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,175 base knocks and 631 earned runs this season. They have given up 193 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 489 hitters and struck out 1,225 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .328 with an OBP of .423. He has 151 hits this year along with 89 RBI in 460 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .667 with an OPS+ of 175. Mike Moustakas is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .334. He has collected 122 hits in 464 at bats while driving in 76 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .528. The Brewers as a unit have 1,158 base hits, including 236 doubles and 210 homers. Milwaukee has walked 512 times this year and they have struck out on 1,277 occasions. They have had 990 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They have scored 4.7 runs per game and totaled 634 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Astros (-165)

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