Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Game Picks 9/3/2019

Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zack Greinke vs. Jordan Lyles

George Springer and the Houston Astros (89-49, 1st in AL West) head to Miller Park on Tuesday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (70-66, 3rd in NL Central). The Brewers open this matchup at +155 while the Astros are coming in at -165. The O/U has been set at 8.5.

The Astros have been a strong pick for baseball wagerers, having gone 89-49-0 SU. Milwaukee covers 51.5% of the time, going 70-66-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a dicey Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 61-71-6.

The Astros are covering 52.9% of the time away from home, having gone 36-32-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers are covering 57.4% of the time at Miller Park, going 39-29-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a hot and cold Over option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 59-72-5.

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Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/1/2019 Yuli Gurriel 1B Elbow Probable for Sep 2
8/31/2019 Collin McHugh RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2019 Carlos Correa SS Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/22/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/21/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/1/2019 Ryan Braun LF Back Probable for Sep 2
9/1/2019 Lorenzo Cain CF Knee Probable for Sep 2
9/1/2019 Mike Moustakas 3B Wrist Probable for Sep 2
8/31/2019 Keston Hiura 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/17/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 89-49 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Greinke has a 14-4 record with an earned run average of 2.99 and a WHIP of 1.01 this season. He has 158 strikeouts over his 177.1 innings pitched and he's given up 150 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 398 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 497 hitters and walked 168 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.71. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,031 base hits and 511 earned runs. They have allowed 203 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 389 batters and struck out 1,390. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .275, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .488 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .386. He has 121 hits this season in 411 at bats with 77 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .567 and an OPS+ of 148. Michael Brantley is hitting .329 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .389. He has totaled 165 hits and he has driven in 80 men in 501 at bats. His OPS+ is 140 while his slugging percentage is at .529. The Astros have 1,307 hits, including 277 doubles and 231 home runs. Houston has walked 540 times so far this season and they have struck out 989 times as a unit. They have left 992 men on base and have a team OPS of .839. They score 5.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 768 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 70-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.55, Jordan Lyles has a 9-8 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 122 strikeouts over the 114.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 109 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 491 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 602 batters and walked 246 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,179 base knocks and 631 earned runs this season. They have given up 193 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 494 hitters and struck out 1,233 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.60.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Mike Moustakas comes into this matchup batting .262 with an OBP of .333. He has 122 hits this year along with 76 RBI in 465 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .527 with an OPS+ of 117. Christian Yelich is hitting .328 this season and he has an OBP of .423. He has collected 152 hits in 464 at bats while driving in 92 runs. He has an OPS+ of 176 and a slugging percentage of .670. The Brewers as a unit have 1,165 base hits, including 236 doubles and 211 homers. Milwaukee has walked 518 times this year and they have struck out on 1,292 occasions. They have had 999 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 638 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers (+155)

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