Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks 4/29/2019

Monday, April 29, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Jake Odorizzi

The Houston Astros visit Target Field on Monday, April 29, 2019 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Justin Verlander for the Astros and Jake Odorizzi for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -174 and Minnesota at +164. The Astros have a 10-16-1 over/under record and a 10-17-0 run line mark. The Twins are 11-13-0 against the run line and have a 14-10-0 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 10-16-1 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 10-17-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 14-10-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 11-13-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

03/28/19 P Joe Smith Achilles 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Lance McCullers Jr Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 16-11 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 4-0 record with an earned run average of 2.61 and a WHIP of 0.90 this season. He has 46 strikeouts over his 38 innings pitched and he's given up 25 hits. He's allowed 5.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.18 and they have given up 58 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen and they've struck out 85 hitters and walked 24 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 180 base hits and 96 earned runs. They have allowed 32 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 65 batters and struck out 257. They have walked 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.04 and their FIP as a unit is 3.65.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 29 hits this season in 107 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .551 and an OPS+ of 142. Michael Brantley is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 105 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .514. The Astros have 248 hits, including 51 doubles and 44 home runs. Houston has walked 104 times so far this season and they have struck out 201 times as a unit. They have left 195 men on base and have a team OPS of .828. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 128 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 15-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.37, Jake Odorizzi has a 2-2 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 22.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 18 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 86 batters and walked 45 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 206 base knocks and 105 earned runs this season. They have given up 28 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 82 hitters and struck out 200 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Twins hold a .514 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .341 with an OBP of .396. He has 31 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 91 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .637 with an OPS+ of 169. Eddie Rosario is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .307. He has collected 25 hits in 95 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 148 and a slugging percentage of .663. The Twins as a unit have 221 base hits, including 53 doubles and 47 homers. Minnesota has walked 69 times this year and they have struck out on 171 occasions. They have had 145 men left on base and have an OPS of .846. They have scored 5.67 runs per game and totaled 136 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros -174

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