Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins MLB Point Spread Picks 4/30/2019

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Gerrit Cole vs. Michael Pineda

The Houston Astros visit Target Field on Tuesday, April 30, 2019 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Gerrit Cole for the Astros and Michael Pineda for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -148 and Minnesota at +138. The Astros have a 10-17-1 over/under record and a 11-17-0 run line mark. The Twins are 12-13-0 against the run line and have a 14-11-0 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 10-17-1 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 11-17-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 14-11-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 12-13-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

03/28/19 P Joe Smith Achilles 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Lance McCullers Jr Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

04/28/19 C Willians Astudillo Hamstring 10-day IL (04/28)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 17-11 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 54 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he's given up 29 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.05 and they have given up 60 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the bullpen and they've struck out 90 hitters and walked 24 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 188 base hits and 97 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 67 batters and struck out 265. They have walked 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.04 and their FIP as a unit is 3.64.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .271, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .474 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .270 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 30 hits this season in 111 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .541 and an OPS+ of 139. Michael Brantley is hitting .312 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 34 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 109 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .505. The Astros have 254 hits, including 52 doubles and 45 home runs. Houston has walked 108 times so far this season and they have struck out 209 times as a unit. They have left 201 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 4.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 132 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 16-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.63, Michael Pineda has a 2-1 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 20 strikeouts over the 24 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 28 hits. He's allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.26. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 89 batters and walked 45 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 210 base knocks and 106 earned runs this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 82 hitters and struck out 209 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .513 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .337 with an OBP of .390. He has 32 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 95 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .632 with an OPS+ of 167. Eddie Rosario is hitting .255 this season and he has an OBP of .305. He has collected 25 hits in 98 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 143 and a slugging percentage of .643. The Twins as a unit have 227 base hits, including 55 doubles and 49 homers. Minnesota has walked 74 times this year and they have struck out on 183 occasions. They have had 152 men left on base and have an OPS of .846. They have scored 5.6 runs per game and totaled 140 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros -148

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