Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins MLB Point Spread Picks 5/1/2019

Wednesday, May 1, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh vs. Martin Perez

The Houston Astros visit Target Field on Wednesday, May 1, 2019 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Collin McHugh for the Astros and Martin Perez for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -139 and Minnesota at +129. The Astros have a 10-18-1 over/under record and a 11-18-0 run line mark. The Twins are 13-13-0 against the run line and have a 14-12-0 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 10-18-1 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 11-18-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 14-12-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 13-13-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

03/28/19 P Joe Smith Achilles 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Lance McCullers Jr Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

04/28/19 C Willians Astudillo Hamstring 10-day IL (04/28)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 17-12 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Collin McHugh has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.06 this season. He has 37 strikeouts over his 32 innings pitched and he's given up 24 hits. He's allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.98 and they have given up 61 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .198 against the bullpen and they've struck out 90 hitters and walked 24 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.49. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 191 base hits and 98 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 69 batters and struck out 272. They have walked 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.03 and their FIP as a unit is 3.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .267, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .319 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 36 hits this season in 113 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 133. George Springer is hitting .268 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 30 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 112 at bats. His OPS+ is 138 while his slugging percentage is at .536. The Astros have 259 hits, including 52 doubles and 45 home runs. Houston has walked 110 times so far this season and they have struck out 218 times as a unit. They have left 207 men on base and have a team OPS of .809. They score 4.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 132 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 17-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.44, Martin Perez has a 3-0 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 26.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 30 hits. He's allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.32 and they have given up 82 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 91 batters and walked 46 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 215 base knocks and 106 earned runs this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 84 hitters and struck out 218 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .262, good for 8th in the league. The Twins hold a .507 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Eddie Rosario comes into this matchup batting .248 with an OBP of .296. He has 25 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 101 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .624 with an OPS+ of 138. Jorge Polanco is hitting .327 this season and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 32 hits in 98 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 163 and a slugging percentage of .612. The Twins as a unit have 230 base hits, including 57 doubles and 50 homers. Minnesota has walked 76 times this year and they have struck out on 190 occasions. They have had 156 men left on base and have an OPS of .835. They have scored 5.42 runs per game and totaled 141 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros -139

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