Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners MLB Game Picks 6/6/2019
Thursday, June 6, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Tommy Milone
Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros (42-20, 1st in AL West) go to T-Mobile Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Seattle Mariners (25-39, 5th in AL West). The line on this game has the Astros coming in at -190 and the Mariners are at +178. The total opens at 8.5.
The Astros have been terrible for oddsmakers, having gone 42-20-0 SU. Seattle is covering 39.1% of the time, going 25-39-0 straight up. The Astros have been a strong bet for wagerers as favorites, going 41-19-0 SU. Seattle has went 15-31-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 32.6% of the time.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a great Under pick for O/U bettors, having gone 25-35-2.
Houston is covering 60.0% of the time on the road, having gone 18-12-0 straight up.
Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
Seattle is covering 36.4% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 12-21-0 SU.
The Mariners have been a great Over pick for O/U bettors, having gone 40-21-3.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
6/5/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/3/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/29/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/27/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
3/28/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
6/5/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/4/2019 J.P SS Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/4/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/3/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/3/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/3/2019 Dee Gordon 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
5/31/2019 Gerson Bautista RP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/28/2019 Sam Tuivailala RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
5/28/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 42-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 9-2 record with an earned run average of 2.27 and a WHIP of 0.73 this season. He has 103 strikeouts over his 87.1 innings pitched and he's given up 45 hits. He's allowed 4.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.82 and they have given up 145 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .202 against the bullpen and they've struck out 215 hitters and walked 64 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 420 base hits and 206 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 164 batters and struck out 609. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 3.88.
As a team Houston is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .481 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .274 with an on-base percentage of .392. He has 59 hits this season in 215 at bats with 43 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .558 and an OPS+ of 153. Michael Brantley is hitting .332 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .389. He has totaled 76 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 229 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .537. The Astros have 569 hits, including 116 doubles and 100 home runs. Houston has walked 228 times so far this season and they have struck out 418 times as a unit. They have left 429 men on base and have a team OPS of .827. They score 5.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 324 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Seattle has a 25-39 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.60, Tommy Milone has a 1-1 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 15 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 14 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 232 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 240 batters and walked 131 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.36. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 622 base knocks and 337 earned runs this season. They have given up 110 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 209 hitters and struck out 493 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.16.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 23rd in the league. The Mariners hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Mitch Haniger comes into this matchup batting .226 with an OBP of .320. He has 54 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 239 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .477 with an OPS+ of 115. Domingo Santana is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 62 hits in 236 at bats while driving in 42 runs. He has an OPS+ of 113 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Mariners as a unit have 523 base hits, including 110 doubles and 109 homers. Seattle has walked 234 times this year and they have struck out on 626 occasions. They have had 426 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They have scored 4.94 runs per game and totaled 316 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Mariners MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners +178
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks