Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners MLB Game Picks 9/25/2019
Wednesday, September 25, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Zack Greinke vs. Yusei Kikuchi
Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (102-54, 1st in AL West) travel to T-Mobile Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Seattle Mariners (66-90, 5th in AL West). The Astros open this contest at -385 while the Mariners are coming in at +340. The over/under is set at 9.
The Astros have been great for MLB wagerers, having gone 102-54-0 SU. The Mariners are covering 42.3% of the time, going 66-90-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been an inconsistent Under pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 70-80-6.
The Astros are covering 54.8% of the time as the road team, having gone 40-33-0 straight up.
Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
Seattle covers 44.0% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 33-42-0 SU.
The Mariners have been a strong Over pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 87-63-6.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
9/18/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Out for the season
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
9/23/2019 Austin Adams RP Knee Out for the season
9/22/2019 Daniel Vogelbach DH Neck Probable for Sep 24
9/17/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Back Out for the season
9/11/2019 Jake Fraley CF Thumb Out for the season
9/10/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Out for the season
8/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Hip Out for the season
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 102-54 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Greinke has a 17-5 record with an earned run average of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.01 this season. He has 178 strikeouts over his 200.1 innings pitched and he's given up 173 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 587 hitters and walked 191 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,176 base hits and 584 earned runs. They have allowed 226 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 436 batters and struck out 1,601. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.
As a team Houston is hitting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .497 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .377. He has 176 hits this season in 559 at bats with 86 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 129. Alex Bregman is hitting .293 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .419. He has totaled 157 hits and he has driven in 108 men in 535 at bats. His OPS+ is 160 while his slugging percentage is at .585. The Astros have 1,491 hits, including 310 doubles and 277 home runs. Houston has walked 616 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,119 times as a unit. They have left 1,120 men on base and have a team OPS of .851. They score 5.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 893 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Seattle has a 66-90 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.55, Yusei Kikuchi has a 6-10 record and a 1.54 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 155.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 189 hits. He's allowing 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.87 and they have given up 621 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 645 batters and walked 277 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.09. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,449 base knocks and 783 earned runs this season. They have given up 254 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 481 hitters and struck out 1,201 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 5.02.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 27th in the league. The Mariners hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Mallex Smith comes into this matchup batting .229 with an OBP of .303. He has 114 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 498 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .339 with an OPS+ of 74. Dee Gordon is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .299. He has collected 105 hits in 387 at bats while driving in 34 runs. He has an OPS+ of 76 and a slugging percentage of .354. The Mariners as a unit have 1,274 base hits, including 247 doubles and 238 homers. Seattle has walked 575 times this year and they have struck out on 1,521 occasions. They have had 1,047 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They have scored 4.81 runs per game and totaled 750 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Mariners MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners (+340)
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