Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners MLB Point Spread Picks 6/4/2019

Tuesday, June 4, 2019

T-Mobile Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Yusei Kikuchi

T-Mobile Park is the venue where Mitch Haniger and the Seattle Mariners (25-37, 5th in AL West) will play the Houston Astros (40-20, 1st in AL West) on Tuesday. The odds on this matchup have the Astros coming in at -150 and the Mariners are at +140. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Astros have been lousy for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers, having gone 40-20-0 SU. Seattle covers 40.3% of the time, going 25-37-0 straight up. The Astros have been lousy for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers as favorites, going 39-19-0 SU. Seattle has went 15-29-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 34.1% of the time.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a very good Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 24-34-2.

Houston covers 57.1% of the time on the road, having gone 16-12-0 straight up.

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

Seattle covers 38.7% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 12-19-0 SU.

The Mariners have been a terrible Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 39-20-3.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

5/29/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/28/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
5/28/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
5/27/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/26/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 5
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
3/28/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

6/3/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/31/2019 Gerson Bautista RP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/30/2019 J.P SS Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
5/30/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
5/28/2019 Sam Tuivailala RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
5/28/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
5/28/2019 Dee Gordon 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 40-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.14 this season. He has 54 strikeouts over his 69.1 innings pitched and he's given up 63 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.87 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the bullpen and they've struck out 206 hitters and walked 59 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 409 base hits and 199 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 153 batters and struck out 591. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 3.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .273, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .480 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .391. He has 56 hits this season in 208 at bats with 40 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .553 and an OPS+ of 151. Michael Brantley is hitting .329 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .385. He has totaled 74 hits and he has driven in 37 men in 225 at bats. His OPS+ is 144 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Astros have 551 hits, including 111 doubles and 97 home runs. Houston has walked 221 times so far this season and they have struck out 412 times as a unit. They have left 420 men on base and have a team OPS of .827. They score 5.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 309 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 25-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.43, Yusei Kikuchi has a 3-3 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 67 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 71 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.24 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 236 batters and walked 126 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.29. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 604 base knocks and 322 earned runs this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 202 hitters and struck out 487 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.13.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 22nd in the league. The Mariners hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Mitch Haniger comes into this matchup batting .227 with an OBP of .316. He has 53 hits this year along with 31 RBI in 233 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .472 with an OPS+ of 112. Domingo Santana is hitting .266 this season and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 61 hits in 229 at bats while driving in 42 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .463. The Mariners as a unit have 511 base hits, including 108 doubles and 106 homers. Seattle has walked 223 times this year and they have struck out on 608 occasions. They have had 411 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They have scored 4.98 runs per game and totaled 309 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros -150

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