Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Point Spread Picks 7/28/2019

Sunday, July 28, 2019

Busch Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Dakota Hudson

George Springer and the Houston Astros (66-39, 1st in AL West) go to Busch Stadium on Sunday where they'll take on the St. Louis Cardinals (56-47, 1st in NL Central). The Astros open this contest at -115 while the Cardinals are coming in at +105. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Astros have been very good for bettors, having gone 66-39-0 SU. The Cardinals cover 54.4% of the time, going 56-47-0 straight up. The Astros have been very good for bettors as the favorite, going 64-34-0 SU. St. Louis is covering 54.4% of the time as the underdog, having gone 25-21-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a strong Under play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 45-56-4.

The Astros cover 52.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 26-24-0 straight up.

Important St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

St. Louis is covering 59.2% of the time at Busch Stadium, going 29-20-0 SU.

The Cardinals have been a decent Under play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 44-53-6.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

7/23/2019 Josh James RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/21/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

7/27/2019 Dexter Fowler RF Foot Probable for Jul 27
7/26/2019 Marcell Ozuna LF Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/26/2019 Yadier Molina C Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/25/2019 Matt Carpenter 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/23/2019 Brett Cecil RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/14/2019 Jedd Gyorko 3B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
7/11/2019 Jordan Hicks RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 66-39 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 8-4 record with an earned run average of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 100 strikeouts over his 121.2 innings pitched and he's given up 97 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 305 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen and they've struck out 383 hitters and walked 130 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 778 base hits and 400 earned runs. They have allowed 156 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 297 batters and struck out 1,065. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.14 and their FIP as a unit is 4.14.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Astros hold a .475 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .378. He has 83 hits this season in 285 at bats with 58 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .582 and an OPS+ of 151. Michael Brantley is hitting .326 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 125 hits and he has driven in 58 men in 383 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .527. The Astros have 969 hits, including 198 doubles and 171 home runs. Houston has walked 397 times so far this season and they have struck out 752 times as a unit. They have left 748 men on base and have a team OPS of .819. They score 5.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 546 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

St. Louis has a 56-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.61, Dakota Hudson has a 10-4 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He has 81 strikeouts over the 109.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 115 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have given up 277 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the Cardinals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 400 batters and walked 142 opposing hitters. As a team, St. Louis allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 833 base knocks and 416 earned runs this season. They have given up 134 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. St. Louis as a staff has walked 344 hitters and struck out 888 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 22nd in the league. The Cardinals hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Paul DeJong comes into this matchup batting .255 with an OBP of .337. He has 97 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 381 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .465 with an OPS+ of 110. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 98 hits in 383 at bats while driving in 56 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Cardinals as a unit have 845 base hits, including 155 doubles and 134 homers. St. Louis has walked 341 times this year and they have struck out on 874 occasions. They have had 684 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They have scored 4.63 runs per game and totaled 477 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Cardinals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros -115

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