Houston Astros at Texas Rangers MLB Picks & Predictions 7/11/2019
Thursday, July 11, 2019
Globe Life Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Framber Valdez vs. Lance Lynn
Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (57-33, 1st in AL West) head to Globe Life Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Texas Rangers (48-42, 3rd in AL West). The line on this game has the Astros coming in at -115 and the Rangers are at +105. The total is set at 10.5.
The Astros have been bad for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 57-33-0 SU. The Rangers are covering 53.3% of the time, going 48-42-0 straight up. The Astros have been bad for Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 55-28-0 SU. The Rangers are covering 46.9% of the time as the underdog, having gone 30-34-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been an inconsistent Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 39-47-4.
Houston covers 53.7% of the time as a visitor, having gone 22-19-0 straight up.
Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends
Texas covers 63.0% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 29-17-0 SU.
The Rangers have been an inconsistent Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 42-46-2.
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Key Houston Astros Injuries
7/1/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/27/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/20/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/20/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Texas Rangers Injuries
7/8/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/8/2019 Shin-Soo Choo DH Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
7/5/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/2/2019 Hunter Pence DH Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/1/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/28/2019 Jeffrey Springs RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
6/20/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/19/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/15/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 57-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Framber Valdez has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 41 strikeouts over his 45.1 innings pitched and he's given up 43 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen and they've struck out 320 hitters and walked 106 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 669 base hits and 348 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 252 batters and struck out 900. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.14 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
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As a team Houston is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Astros hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .324 with an on-base percentage of .383. He has 108 hits this season in 333 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .511 and an OPS+ of 136. Alex Bregman is hitting .265 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 84 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 317 at bats. His OPS+ is 145 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Astros have 827 hits, including 171 doubles and 142 home runs. Houston has walked 341 times so far this season and they have struck out 624 times as a unit. They have left 640 men on base and have a team OPS of .816. They score 5.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 458 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Texas has a 48-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.91, Lance Lynn has a 11-4 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 123 strikeouts over the 115 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 114 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 360 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 326 batters and walked 150 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 839 base knocks and 430 earned runs this season. They have given up 128 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 313 hitters and struck out 760 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.69.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 13th in the league. The Rangers hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Elvis Andrus comes into this matchup batting .303 with an OBP of .339. He has 99 hits this year along with 45 RBI in 327 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .453 with an OPS+ of 101. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .384. He has collected 92 hits in 319 at bats while driving in 36 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .495. The Rangers as a unit have 781 base hits, including 185 doubles and 125 homers. Texas has walked 316 times this year and they have struck out on 900 occasions. They have had 593 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They have scored 5.39 runs per game and totaled 485 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Rangers MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Astros -115
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