Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Picks & Tips 10/16/2019

Wednesday, October 16, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Urquidy vs. Chad Green

Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros travel to Yankee Stadium on Wednesday where they'll meet the New York Yankees in Game 4 of the ALCS. The Astros lead the series 2-1 after winning Game 3 by a score of 4-1. Gerrit Cole turned in another dominating performance for Houston, pitching 7 shutout innings with 7 strikeouts. Josh Reddick and Jose Altuve provided the offense for Houston by both going deep. This next game will be a bullpen day for both teams, so the scoring should be much higher. The Astros open this matchup at +100 while the Yankees are priced at -110. The total is set at 9.

The Astros have been a strong option for bettors, having gone 111-58-0 SU. The Yankees cover 64.1% of the time, going 107-60-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a pretty good Over option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 74-88-7.

The Astros cover 55.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 45-36-0 straight up.

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

New York is covering 71.1% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 59-24-0 SU.

The Yankees have been a pretty good Over option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 86-75-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/27/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1, 2020
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Key New York Yankees Injuries

10/14/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Oct 15
10/13/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Quadriceps Probable for Oct 15
9/19/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/18/2019 Dellin Betances RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Oct 21
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Mar 1, 2020
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 107-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Urquidy has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.10 this season. He has 40 strikeouts over his 41 innings pitched and he's given up 38 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 608 hitters and walked 197 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,205 base hits and 595 earned runs. They have allowed 230 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,671. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .423. He has 164 hits this season in 554 at bats with 112 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .592 and an OPS+ of 162. Carlos Correa is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 78 hits and he has driven in 59 men in 280 at bats. His OPS+ is 137 while his slugging percentage is at .568. The Astros have 1,538 hits, including 323 doubles and 288 home runs. Houston has walked 645 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,166 times as a unit. They have left 1,168 men on base and have a team OPS of .848. They score 5.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 920 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 103-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.17, Chad Green has a 4-4 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 69 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 66 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.34. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 610 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 750 batters and walked 267 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,374 base knocks and 691 earned runs this season. They have given up 248 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 507 hitters and struck out 1,534 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .490 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Gleyber Torres comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .337. He has 152 hits this year along with 90 RBI in 546 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .535 with an OPS+ of 128. Didi Gregorius is hitting .238 this season and he has an OBP of .276. He has collected 77 hits in 324 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 87 and a slugging percentage of .441. The Yankees as a unit have 1,493 base hits, including 290 doubles and 306 homers. New York has walked 569 times this year and they have struck out on 1,437 occasions. They have had 1,039 men left on base and have an OPS of .829. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 943 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees (-110)

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