Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Predictions & Picks 10/17/2019

Thursday, October 17, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zack Greinke vs. Masahiro Tanaka

Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros are headed to Yankee Stadium on Thursday where they'll take on the New York Yankees. The line on this matchup has the Astros priced at -103 and the Yankees are at -119. The total has been set at 8.5.

The Astros have been lousy for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 112-58-0 SU. The Yankees are covering 63.7% of the time, going 107-61-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a good Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 74-89-7.

The Astros are covering 56.1% of the time as the visitor, having gone 46-36-0 straight up.

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

New York is covering 70.2% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 59-25-0 SU.

The Yankees have been a good Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 86-76-6.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/27/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1, 2020
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Key New York Yankees Injuries

10/16/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Oct 16
10/15/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Quadriceps Probable for Oct 16
9/19/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/18/2019 Dellin Betances RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Oct 21
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Mar 1, 2020
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 107-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Greinke has a 18-5 record with an earned run average of 2.93 and a WHIP of 0.98 this season. He has 187 strikeouts over his 208.2 innings pitched and he's given up 175 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 608 hitters and walked 197 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,205 base hits and 595 earned runs. They have allowed 230 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,671. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Jose Altuve is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .353. He has 149 hits this season in 500 at bats with 74 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .550 and an OPS+ of 131. George Springer is hitting .292 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 140 hits and he has driven in 96 men in 479 at bats. His OPS+ is 150 while his slugging percentage is at .591. The Astros have 1,538 hits, including 323 doubles and 288 home runs. Houston has walked 645 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,166 times as a unit. They have left 1,168 men on base and have a team OPS of .848. They score 5.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 920 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 103-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.45, Masahiro Tanaka has a 11-9 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 149 strikeouts over the 182 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 186 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.27. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 610 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 750 batters and walked 267 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,374 base knocks and 691 earned runs this season. They have given up 248 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 507 hitters and struck out 1,534 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .490 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Aaron Judge comes into this matchup batting .272 with an OBP of .381. He has 103 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 378 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .540 with an OPS+ of 143. Brett Gardner is hitting .251 this season and he has an OBP of .325. He has collected 123 hits in 491 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .503. The Yankees as a unit have 1,493 base hits, including 290 doubles and 306 homers. New York has walked 569 times this year and they have struck out on 1,437 occasions. They have had 1,039 men left on base and have an OPS of .829. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 943 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros (-103)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink