Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals Expert MLB Picks 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Urquidy vs. Patrick Corbin

Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros head to Nationals Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Washington Nationals in Game 4 of the World Series. The odds on this contest have Houston at +200 and Washington is priced at -230. The total is set at 8.5. Houston cut the series lead to 2-1 with a 4-1 win on Friday night. Zack Greinke only pitched 4.2 innings, but the Astros bullpen shut down the Nats offense the rest of the way. Robinson Chirinos was 2-4 with a homerun for Houston, and George Springer, Jose Altuve, and Michael Brantley all had 2 hits apiece. 

The Astros have been very good for wagerers, having gone 114-61-0 SU. The Nationals are covering 59.2% of the time, going 103-71-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a hot and cold Under bet for O/U bettors, having gone 78-90-7.

The Astros are covering 56.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 47-37-0 straight up.

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals are covering 62.8% of the time at Nationals Park, going 54-32-0 SU.

The Nationals have been a hot and cold Under bet for O/U bettors, having gone 81-82-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/27/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1, 2020
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/18/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/4/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
8/30/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 107-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Urquidy has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.10 this season. He has 40 strikeouts over his 41 innings pitched and he's given up 38 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 608 hitters and walked 197 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,205 base hits and 595 earned runs. They have allowed 230 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,671. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .423. He has 164 hits this season in 554 at bats with 112 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .592 and an OPS+ of 162. Carlos Correa is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 78 hits and he has driven in 59 men in 280 at bats. His OPS+ is 137 while his slugging percentage is at .568. The Astros have 1,538 hits, including 323 doubles and 288 home runs. Houston has walked 645 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,166 times as a unit. They have left 1,168 men on base and have a team OPS of .848. They score 5.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 920 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 93-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.25, Patrick Corbin has a 14-7 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 238 strikeouts over the 202 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 169 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.68 and they have given up 520 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 501 batters and walked 219 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,340 base knocks and 683 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 517 hitters and struck out 1,511 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league. The Nationals hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Juan Soto comes into this matchup batting .282 with an OBP of .401. He has 153 hits this year along with 110 RBI in 542 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .548 with an OPS+ of 138. Anthony Rendon is hitting .319 this season and he has an OBP of .412. He has collected 174 hits in 545 at bats while driving in 126 runs. He has an OPS+ of 153 and a slugging percentage of .598. The Nationals as a unit have 1,460 base hits, including 298 doubles and 231 homers. Washington has walked 584 times this year and they have struck out on 1,308 occasions. They have had 1,114 men left on base and have an OPS of .796. They have scored 5.39 runs per game and totaled 873 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals (-230)

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