Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals MLB Picks & Predictions 10/25/2019

Friday, October 25, 2019

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zack Greinke vs. Anibal Sanchez

Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals play the Houston Astros at Nationals Park on Friday in Game 3 of the World Series. The Nats stunned the Astros 12-3 in Game 2 to take a 2-0 series lead back to D.C. The Nationals beat both Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander and now must face Zack Greinke. Kurt Suzuki hit the go-ahead home in a 6-run 7th inning to break the game open. The Nats finished with 6 runs in the inning and tacked on 3 more for good measure in the 8th inning. The Astros open this matchup at -120 while the Nationals are priced at +100. The over/under is set at 7.

The Astros have been a great pick for baseball wagerers, having gone 114-60-0 SU. The Nationals cover 59.0% of the time, going 102-71-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been a good Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 77-90-7.

Houston covers 56.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 47-37-0 straight up.

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals cover 62.8% of the time at Nationals Park, going 54-32-0 SU.

The Nationals have been a good Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 80-82-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/27/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1, 2020
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/18/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/4/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
8/30/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 107-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Greinke has a 18-5 record with an earned run average of 2.93 and a WHIP of 0.98 this season. He has 187 strikeouts over his 208.2 innings pitched and he's given up 175 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 608 hitters and walked 197 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,205 base hits and 595 earned runs. They have allowed 230 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,671. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Carlos Correa is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 78 hits this season in 280 at bats with 59 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .568 and an OPS+ of 137. Alex Bregman is hitting .296 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .423. He has totaled 164 hits and he has driven in 112 men in 554 at bats. His OPS+ is 162 while his slugging percentage is at .592. The Astros have 1,538 hits, including 323 doubles and 288 home runs. Houston has walked 645 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,166 times as a unit. They have left 1,168 men on base and have a team OPS of .848. They score 5.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 920 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 93-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.85, Anibal Sanchez has a 11-8 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 134 strikeouts over the 166 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 153 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.68 and they have given up 520 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 501 batters and walked 219 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,340 base knocks and 683 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 517 hitters and struck out 1,511 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league. The Nationals hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Anthony Rendon comes into this matchup batting .319 with an OBP of .412. He has 174 hits this year along with 126 RBI in 545 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .598 with an OPS+ of 153. Juan Soto is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .401. He has collected 153 hits in 542 at bats while driving in 110 runs. He has an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .548. The Nationals as a unit have 1,460 base hits, including 298 doubles and 231 homers. Washington has walked 584 times this year and they have struck out on 1,308 occasions. They have had 1,114 men left on base and have an OPS of .796. They have scored 5.39 runs per game and totaled 873 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros (-120)

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