Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles MLB Game Picks 8/21/2019
Wednesday, August 21, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Mike Montgomery vs. Aaron Brooks
Alex Gordon and the Kansas City Royals (45-80, 4th in AL Central) go to Oriole Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Baltimore Orioles (39-86, 5th in AL East). The Royals open this contest at -115 while the Orioles are coming in at +105. The O/U is set at 11.
The Royals have been a bad choice for wagerers, having gone 45-80-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 31.2% of the time, going 39-86-0 straight up.
Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been a less than ideal Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 61-58-6.
Kansas City is covering 33.9% of the time on the road, having gone 21-41-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore is covering 29.0% of the time at Oriole Park, going 18-44-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a less than ideal Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 63-52-10.
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
8/20/2019 Danny Duffy SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/20/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/19/2019 Cam Gallagher C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/16/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/14/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/12/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Royals have a 45-80 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Montgomery has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.54 this season. He has 45 strikeouts over his 56.1 innings pitched and he's given up 69 hits. He's allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 450 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen and they've struck out 403 hitters and walked 197 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 1,172 base hits and 613 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 444 batters and struck out 971. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.78.
As a team Kansas City is hitting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Alex Gordon is hitting .258 with an on-base percentage of .331. He has 115 hits this season in 446 at bats with 63 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .404 and an OPS+ of 94. Whit Merrifield is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 158 hits and he has driven in 64 men in 528 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .475. The Royals have 1,040 hits, including 218 doubles and 127 home runs. Kansas City has walked 357 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,058 times as a unit. They have left 807 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 540 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 39-86 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.49, Aaron Brooks has a 2-7 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 77.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 89 hits. He's allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.39 and they have given up 566 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .278 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 477 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.98. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,210 base knocks and 734 earned runs this season. They have given up 257 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 448 hitters and struck out 958 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 5.87.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .346. He has 128 hits this year along with 73 RBI in 465 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .531 with an OPS+ of 128. Jonathan Villar is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 134 hits in 486 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .449. The Orioles as a unit have 1,048 base hits, including 195 doubles and 157 homers. Baltimore has walked 349 times this year and they have struck out on 1,137 occasions. They have had 816 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They have scored 4.34 runs per game and totaled 543 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Royals/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles (+105)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks