Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/10/2019

Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Guaranteed Rate Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jakob Junis vs. Ivan Nova

Guaranteed Rate Field is the venue where Jose Abreu and the Chicago White Sox (63-80, 3rd in AL Central) will take on the Kansas City Royals (53-91, 4th in AL Central) on Tuesday. The Royals open this game at +120 while the White Sox are priced at -130. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Royals have been an inconsistent pick for MLB bettors, having gone 53-91-0 SU. Chicago covers 44.1% of the time, going 63-80-0 straight up.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have been a hot and cold Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 72-66-6.

The Royals are covering 33.8% of the time away from home, having gone 24-47-0 straight up.

Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

The White Sox are covering 47.9% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 34-37-0 SU.

The White Sox have been a hot and cold Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 66-72-5.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/8/2019 Jake Newberry RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
8/16/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

9/9/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/6/2019 Leury Garcia CF Personal Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/3/2019 Jon Jay RF Hip Out for the season
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 53-91 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jakob Junis has a 9-12 record with an earned run average of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 155 strikeouts over his 167.2 innings pitched and he's given up 179 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 532 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the bullpen and they've struck out 467 hitters and walked 227 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 1,357 base hits and 722 earned runs. They have allowed 191 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 507 batters and struck out 1,096. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .245, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Hunter Dozier is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .365. He has 132 hits this season in 454 at bats with 79 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .551 and an OPS+ of 137. Whit Merrifield is hitting .306 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 185 hits and he has driven in 72 men in 605 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .473. The Royals have 1,195 hits, including 242 doubles and 144 home runs. Kansas City has walked 412 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,210 times as a unit. They have left 933 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 613 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 63-80 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.69, Ivan Nova has a 9-12 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 167 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 198 hits. He's allowing 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 471 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 455 batters and walked 233 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,275 base knocks and 688 earned runs this season. They have given up 210 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 518 hitters and struck out 1,155 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 12th in the league. The White Sox hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Jose Abreu comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .331. He has 158 hits this year along with 112 RBI in 558 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .509 with an OPS+ of 121. Tim Anderson is hitting .334 this season and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 144 hits in 431 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 130 and a slugging percentage of .515. The White Sox as a unit have 1,245 base hits, including 228 doubles and 152 homers. Chicago has walked 336 times this year and they have struck out on 1,360 occasions. They have had 939 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They have scored 4.26 runs per game and totaled 609 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/White Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals (+120)

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