Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/6/2019

Saturday, April 6, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jorge Lopez vs. Matt Moore

The Kansas City Royals visit Comerica Park on Saturday, April 6, 2019 to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Jorge Lopez for the Royals and Matt Moore for the Tigers.

The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +115 and Detroit at -125. The Royals have a 5-1-0 over/under record and a 4-2-0 run line mark. The Tigers are 5-3-0 against the run line and have a 1-7-0 over/under record.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 5-1-0 against the over/under

The Kansas City Royals are 4-2-0 against the run line

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 1-7-0 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 5-3-0 against the run line

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

03/25/19 C Salvador Perez Elbow is out for season
03/25/19 P Trevor Oaks Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Brian Flynn Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Danny Duffy Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Eric Skoglund Suspension 80 game suspension
03/25/19 P Jesse Hahn Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

03/28/19 CF JaCoby Jones Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)
03/25/19 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 10-day IL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 2-4 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jorge Lopez has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 5 strikeouts over his 5 innings pitched and he's given up 6 hits. He's allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.45 and they have given up 24 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .304 against the bullpen and they've struck out 15 hitters and walked 17 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.33. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 54 base hits and 32 earned runs. They have allowed 4 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 29 batters and struck out 52. They have walked 4.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.54 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .236, good for 17th in the league. The Royals hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Jorge Soler is hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .360. He has 7 hits this season in 23 at bats with 6 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .478 and an OPS+ of 147. Whit Merrifield is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 7 hits and he has driven in 3 men in 26 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .385. The Royals have 48 hits, including 9 doubles and 4 home runs. Kansas City has walked 15 times so far this season and they have struck out 44 times as a unit. They have left 36 men on base and have a team OPS of .684. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 30 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 5-3 overall mark this year. Matt Moore has a 0-0 record and a 0.43 WHIP. He has 6 strikeouts over the 7 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 2 hits. He's allowing 2.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.25 and they have given up 14 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .169 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 23 batters and walked 6 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 5.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.25. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 47 base knocks and 18 earned runs this season. They have given up 5 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 20 hitters and struck out 81 batters. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 0.93 while their FIP as a staff is 2.60.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .166, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .255 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .264, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 5.4 hits per contest. Jeimer Candelario comes into this matchup batting .242 with an OBP of .265. He has 8 hits this year along with 2 RBI in 33 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .333 with an OPS+ of 74. Jordy Mercer is hitting .125 this season and he has an OBP of .222. He has collected 3 hits in 24 at bats while driving in 2 runs. He has an OPS+ of 16 and a slugging percentage of .167. The Tigers as a unit have 43 base hits, including 15 doubles and 2 homers. Detroit has walked 32 times this year and they have struck out on 89 occasions. They have had 57 men left on base and have an OPS of .518. They have scored 2.12 runs per game and totaled 17 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals +115

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